Liverpool vs Newcastle United: match statistics
Liverpool is displaying significantly superior home form with 55% of wins at their home stadium and an impressive streak of three consecutive victories in their recent home matches. The hosts possess a quality advantage, as confirmed by xG statistics (2.02 vs 1.44) and the average goals scored (1.45 vs 0.91). Newcastle United has serious offensive issues away from home, failing to score in 55% of their away matches and winning only 18% of such fixtures. Furthermore, the visitors' form is concerning – with only one win in their last five matches and a winless streak in their last five away games. Liverpool also holds an advantage in possession (63% vs 56%) and registers significantly more shots on target (5.18 vs 3.45), indicating dominance in controlling the game. The goal difference of both teams (+5 for Liverpool at home, -2 for Newcastle away) further supports the hosts.
Liverpool vs Newcastle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liverpool played Newcastle United in Premier League (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Liverpool: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Newcastle United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liverpool scores 1.52 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Newcastle United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liverpool 61%, Newcastle United 57%. Over 2.5: Liverpool 61%, Newcastle United 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Liverpool has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.58. Liverpool: 15.4 shots per match, Newcastle United: 13.0.
Match halves
Liverpool: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.04. Newcastle United: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Liverpool: 76-90+ (13 goals). Newcastle United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liverpool is displaying significantly superior home form with 55% of wins at their home stadium and an impressive streak of three consecutive victories in their recent home matches. The hosts possess a quality advantage, as confirmed by xG statistics (2.02 vs 1.44) and the average goals scored (1.45 vs 0.91). Newcastle United has serious offensive issues away from home, failing to score in 55% of their away matches and winning only 18% of such fixtures. Furthermore, the visitors' form is concerning – with only one win in their last five matches and a winless streak in their last five away games. Liverpool also holds an advantage in possession (63% vs 56%) and registers significantly more shots on target (5.18 vs 3.45), indicating dominance in controlling the game. The goal difference of both teams (+5 for Liverpool at home, -2 for Newcastle away) further supports the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liverpool | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newcastle United is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Liverpool · 2 pts / match - Newcastle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liverpool is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Liverpool · 1.39 goals / match - Newcastle United
Newcastle United is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Liverpool · 1.26 goals / match - Newcastle United
Liverpool scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Newcastle United scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Liverpool keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Liverpool
Over / Under - Newcastle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Newcastle United is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Liverpool · 1.43 pts / match - Newcastle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liverpool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liverpool
Newcastle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Liverpool | Liga | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Liverpool 1 - 0 - 0 Newcastle United. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liverpool vs Newcastle United?
The Premier League match finished Liverpool 4:1 Newcastle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool vs Newcastle United?
Liverpool score 1.52 goals per game on average and Newcastle United 1.39. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Liverpool's matches and 57% of Newcastle United's.
What form are Liverpool and Newcastle United in?
Over the last 5 games Liverpool have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Newcastle United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool vs Newcastle United?
The statistical background for Liverpool vs Newcastle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.