Livingston vs Aberdeen: match statistics
Livingston vs Aberdeen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Livingston played Aberdeen in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 1 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Livingston: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Aberdeen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Livingston scores 1.09 and concedes 1.94 goals per match. Aberdeen scores 1.00 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Livingston 68%, Aberdeen 35%. Over 2.5: Livingston 62%, Aberdeen 32%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Aberdeen has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.14. Livingston: 9.5 shots per match, Aberdeen: 11.5.
Match halves
Livingston: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.62. Aberdeen: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Livingston: 76-90+ (9 goals). Aberdeen: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Livingston average 1.31 goals per home match with 3.69 shots on target and a conversion rate of 13%, whereas Aberdeen average only 0.47 goals away, have 2.41 shots on target and a conversion of just 5%. Additionally, the home side fail to score in only 13% of home appearances versus 65% of Aberdeen’s away matches, and home xG is 1.24 against visitors’ 1.08 xG away, indicating Livingston create better chances. Both teams are vulnerable defensively — Livingston concede 1.88 goals at home (xG against 1.67), Aberdeen concede 1.59 away (xG against 1.87) — so an open game can be expected, but the home advantage in finishing favors Livingston. Although Aberdeen have better recent form over the last 5 matches in points (1.4 pp vs 1.0 for Livingston) and 24% away wins against Livingston’s 6% home wins, the visitors’ low away efficiency and high proportion of goalless matches lead to estimated probabilities of 55% for the home win, 30% for a draw and 15% for Aberdeen.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against BTTS - Yes comes from Aberdeen: averaging only 0.47 goals per match this season and failing to score in 65% of fixtures, with a season BTTS at 18%. Livingston, by contrast, averages 1.53 goals per game, has a season BTTS of 53% and xG 1.43 versus xG conceded 1.42, indicating the home side creates chances. In the last 5 matches both teams show 40% BTTS, and Aberdeen has improved short-term to 1.0 goal (xG 1.07), providing some away goal potential. However, with only 2.41 shots on target and a 5% conversion rate for Aberdeen, combined with a high 65% share of games without a goal, the balance of signals favors No Goal — therefore a 75% rating for "no".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive data analysis yields expected goals of 1.65 for Livingston (attacking xG 1.43 and xG conceded by Aberdeen 1.87, average 1.65) and 1.25 for Aberdeen (attacking xG 1.08 and xG conceded by Livingston 1.42, average 1.25), totaling 2.90. This combined projection of 2.90 is above the league average of 2.75 and exceeds the 2.5 line, increasing the likelihood of at least three goals. Livingston averages 4.59 shots on target versus Aberdeen’s 2.41 and has a shot conversion of 12% compared to the visitors’ 5%, supporting the probability of the hosts converting chances. Seasonal indicators confirm the trend: Over 1.5 occurred in 76% of Livingston’s matches and 65% of Aberdeen’s, while a Poisson model with λ=2.90 gives ~79% for over 1.5, ~55% for Over 2.5 and ~33% for Over 3.5. Therefore the strongest and most justified play is backing the Over line at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half metrics clearly favor Livingston: the hosts score an average of 0.65 goals by the break versus Aberdeen’s 0.18, and Livingston lead at the break in 29% of matches compared to 12% for the visitors. Over 90 minutes the home side also post higher xG (1.43 vs 1.08), more shots on target (4.59 vs 2.41) and superior shot conversion (12% vs 5%), which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead. Aberdeen perform poorly away (losing 71% of fixtures) and average just 0.47 goals per away game, so staging a turnaround after half-time is statistically unlikely. Additionally, Livingston accumulate more points after the break (23 points and an average of 1.35 points in the second half versus 11 points and 0.65 for the visitors), hence the strongest signal is Livingston to lead at half-time and win at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Livingston | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aberdeen is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Livingston · 1.4 pts / match - Aberdeen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Livingston is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Livingston · 1 goals / match - Aberdeen
Aberdeen is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.94 goals / match - Livingston · 1.41 goals / match - Aberdeen
Livingston scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Aberdeen scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Livingston keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Livingston
Over / Under - Aberdeen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aberdeen is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Livingston · 0.97 pts / match - Aberdeen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livingston - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 6%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aberdeen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Livingston
Aberdeen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Livingston | Liga | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 51% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Livingston 0 - 1 - 2 Aberdeen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Livingston vs Aberdeen?
The Premiership match finished Livingston 2:2 Aberdeen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Livingston and Aberdeen?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Livingston won 0, Aberdeen won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Livingston vs Aberdeen?
Livingston score 1.09 goals per game on average and Aberdeen 1.00. The Premiership average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Livingston's matches and 35% of Aberdeen's.
What form are Livingston and Aberdeen in?
Over the last 5 games Livingston have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Aberdeen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livingston vs Aberdeen?
The statistical background for Livingston vs Aberdeen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.