Scotland - ChampionshipTony Macaroni ArenaData current as of 20 October 2026

Livingston vs Arbroath: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Livingston vs Arbroath: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Livingston play Arbroath in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Tony Macaroni Arena.

Current form

Livingston: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Arbroath: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Livingston scores 1.27 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Arbroath scores 0.64 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Livingston 36%, Arbroath 36%. Over 2.5: Livingston 36%, Arbroath 45%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Livingston has higher xG: 1.43 vs 0.76. Livingston: 10.9 shots per match, Arbroath: 4.2.

Match halves

Livingston: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Arbroath: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.36.

Goals by minute

Livingston: 76-90+ (5 goals). Arbroath: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.31)
(4.50)
(8.30)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.27Goals scored / match0.64
LivingstonArbroath
1Goals conceded / match1.55
LivingstonArbroath
54%Average possession46%
LivingstonArbroath
3.27Shots on target / match2.27
LivingstonArbroath

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.91Shots per match4.18
LivingstonArbroath
3.27Shots on target2.27
LivingstonArbroath
11.7%Shot conversion15.2%
LivingstonArbroath
54%Possession46%
LivingstonArbroath
1.43xG for0.76
LivingstonArbroath
1.07xG against1.33
LivingstonArbroath

Shooting quality

Livingston: BalancedArbroath: Counter-attacking
LivingstonArbroath
Accuracy (shots on target)30%54%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Livingston is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Livingston · 0.6 pts / match - Arbroath

Livingston
DWLLD
Season result split
36% W18% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-5
1.27 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Arbroath
LWLLL
Season result split
27% W18% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-5
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.82Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Livingston is 98% better for: goals scored per match.

1.27 goals / match - Livingston · 0.64 goals / match - Arbroath

Livingston is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Livingston · 1.55 goals / match - Arbroath

Livingston scoring profile: very strong

Livingston scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

Arbroath scoring profile: mixed

Arbroath scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Livingston keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

14Goals scored (season)7
LivingstonArbroath
11Goals conceded (season)17
LivingstonArbroath
2.27Average goals in match2.18
LivingstonArbroath
6Goals scored (last 5)3
LivingstonArbroath
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
LivingstonArbroath

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal45%
LivingstonArbroath
45%2 goals18%
LivingstonArbroath
9%3 goals0%
LivingstonArbroath
9%4 goals0%
LivingstonArbroath

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal82%
LivingstonArbroath
36%2 goals45%
LivingstonArbroath
0%3 goals18%
LivingstonArbroath
0%4 goals9%
LivingstonArbroath

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time0%
LivingstonArbroath
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LivingstonArbroath
27%Scored in both halves9%
LivingstonArbroath

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
LivingstonArbroath
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
LivingstonArbroath
60%BTTS - last 540%
LivingstonArbroath

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
LivingstonArbroath
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
LivingstonArbroath
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
LivingstonArbroath

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
LivingstonArbroath
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
LivingstonArbroath
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
LivingstonArbroath

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Livingston is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Livingston · 0.82 pts / match - Arbroath

Livingston - half-time state
27% leading45% draw27% trailing
Arbroath - half-time state
18% leading27% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)0.82
LivingstonArbroath
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.27
LivingstonArbroath
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.91
LivingstonArbroath
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.18
LivingstonArbroath
64%Clean sheet before half-time45%
LivingstonArbroath
55%No goal before half-time82%
LivingstonArbroath

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)0.82
LivingstonArbroath
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.36
LivingstonArbroath
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
LivingstonArbroath
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1
LivingstonArbroath
64%Clean sheet after half-time36%
LivingstonArbroath
55%No goal after half-time64%
LivingstonArbroath

Livingston - second-half results

36% W36% D27% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Arbroath - second-half results

9% W55% D36% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Livingston - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Arbroath - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Livingston
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Arbroath
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
0
4
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
29%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Livingston

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Arbroath

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

LivingstonLigaArbroath
Average goals in match▲ 2.272.02▲ 2.18
Both teams scored▼ 36%38%▼ 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 36%28%▲ 45%
Clean sheets• 36%36%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%70%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time▲ 64%62%▲ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.17
Home goals / match
0.85
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Livingston 0 - 0 - 1 Arbroath. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Livingston and Arbroath play?

Livingston face Arbroath on 24 October 2026 in Championship at Tony Macaroni Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Livingston vs Arbroath?

Livingston score 1.27 goals per game on average and Arbroath 0.64. The Championship average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Livingston's matches and 36% of Arbroath's.

What form are Livingston and Arbroath in?

Over the last 5 games Livingston have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Arbroath 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livingston vs Arbroath?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.