Livingston vs St. Mirren: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very evenly matched contest between two teams in poor form. Livingston wins only 10% of their home games and has failed to keep a single clean sheet, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. St. Mirren presents even worse away statistics with a 70% loss rate and just 10% wins, also failing to secure a single clean sheet on the road. Both teams are enduring a terrible run—Livingston is winless in their last 5 matches (0.4 PTS/game), and St. Mirren is faring even worse (0.2 PTS/game). The key differentiator is the hosts' higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 7% for the visitors) and slightly better xG metrics. Given the poor disposition of both squads, Livingston's high draw percentage at home (30%), and defensive issues on both sides, sharing the points seems the most likely outcome, though the hosts hold a marginal advantage due to the home field factor.
Livingston vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Livingston played St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 20 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Livingston: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. St. Mirren: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Livingston scores 1.00 and concedes 1.95 goals per match. St. Mirren scores 0.76 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Livingston 67%, St. Mirren 38%. Over 2.5: Livingston 67%, St. Mirren 33%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
St. Mirren has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.21. Livingston: 9.9 shots per match, St. Mirren: 12.2.
Match halves
Livingston: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.52. St. Mirren: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Livingston: 76-90+ (7 goals). St. Mirren: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very evenly matched contest between two teams in poor form. Livingston wins only 10% of their home games and has failed to keep a single clean sheet, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. St. Mirren presents even worse away statistics with a 70% loss rate and just 10% wins, also failing to secure a single clean sheet on the road. Both teams are enduring a terrible run—Livingston is winless in their last 5 matches (0.4 PTS/game), and St. Mirren is faring even worse (0.2 PTS/game). The key differentiator is the hosts' higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 7% for the visitors) and slightly better xG metrics. Given the poor disposition of both squads, Livingston's high draw percentage at home (30%), and defensive issues on both sides, sharing the points seems the most likely outcome, though the hosts hold a marginal advantage due to the home field factor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Livingston | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Livingston is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Livingston · 0.76 goals / match - St. Mirren
St. Mirren is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.95 goals / match - Livingston · 1.43 goals / match - St. Mirren
Livingston scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
St. Mirren scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Livingston keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Livingston
Over / Under - St. Mirren
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Mirren is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Livingston · 1.05 pts / match - St. Mirren
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livingston - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Livingston
St. Mirren
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Livingston | Liga | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Livingston 0 - 0 - 1 St. Mirren. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Livingston vs St. Mirren?
The Premiership match finished Livingston 1:1 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Livingston vs St. Mirren?
Livingston score 1.00 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 0.76. The Premiership average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Livingston's matches and 38% of St. Mirren's.
What form are Livingston and St. Mirren in?
Over the last 5 games Livingston have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and St. Mirren 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livingston vs St. Mirren?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.