Livorno vs Grosseto: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Livorno vs Grosseto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Livorno play Grosseto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Armando Picchi.
Current form
Livorno: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Grosseto: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Livorno scores 1.22 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Grosseto scores 1.89 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Livorno 56%, Grosseto 56%. Over 2.5: Livorno 33%, Grosseto 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Grosseto has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.48. Livorno: 12.0 shots per match, Grosseto: 16.1.
Match halves
Livorno: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Grosseto: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Livorno: 31-45+ (3 goals). Grosseto: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Livorno | Grosseto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grosseto is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Livorno · 2 pts / match - Grosseto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grosseto is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Livorno · 1.89 goals / match - Grosseto
Grosseto is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Livorno · 1 goals / match - Grosseto
Livorno scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Grosseto keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Grosseto scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Livorno
Over / Under - Grosseto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grosseto is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Livorno · 2.11 pts / match - Grosseto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grosseto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 56%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Livorno
Grosseto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Livorno | Liga | Grosseto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 70% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 73% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Livorno and Grosseto play?
Livorno face Grosseto on 16 October 2026 in Serie C Group B at Stadio Armando Picchi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Livorno vs Grosseto?
Livorno score 1.22 goals per game on average and Grosseto 1.89. The Serie C Group B average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Livorno's matches and 56% of Grosseto's.
What form are Livorno and Grosseto in?
Over the last 5 games Livorno have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grosseto 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livorno vs Grosseto?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


