Italy - Serie C Group BStadio Armando PicchiData current as of 15 October 2026

Livorno vs Grosseto: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Livorno vs Grosseto: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Livorno play Grosseto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Armando Picchi.

Current form

Livorno: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Grosseto: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Livorno scores 1.22 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Grosseto scores 1.89 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Livorno 56%, Grosseto 56%. Over 2.5: Livorno 33%, Grosseto 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Grosseto has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.48. Livorno: 12.0 shots per match, Grosseto: 16.1.

Match halves

Livorno: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Grosseto: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Livorno: 31-45+ (3 goals). Grosseto: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.21)
(3.35)
(2.95)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.22Goals scored / match1.89
LivornoGrosseto
1.11Goals conceded / match1
LivornoGrosseto
49%Average possession57%
LivornoGrosseto
4.56Shots on target / match5.67
LivornoGrosseto

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match16.11
LivornoGrosseto
4.56Shots on target5.67
LivornoGrosseto
10.2%Shot conversion11.7%
LivornoGrosseto
49%Possession57%
LivornoGrosseto
1.48xG for1.82
LivornoGrosseto
1.47xG against1.42
LivornoGrosseto

Shooting quality

Livorno: BalancedGrosseto: Dominant
LivornoGrosseto
Accuracy (shots on target)38%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Grosseto is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Livorno · 2 pts / match - Grosseto

Livorno
WDWLD
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Grosseto
DWWLW
Season result split
56% W33% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grosseto is 55% better for: goals scored per match.

1.22 goals / match - Livorno · 1.89 goals / match - Grosseto

Grosseto is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.11 goals / match - Livorno · 1 goals / match - Grosseto

Livorno scoring profile: mixed

Livorno scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Grosseto keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

Grosseto scoring profile: very strong

Grosseto scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

11Goals scored (season)17
LivornoGrosseto
10Goals conceded (season)9
LivornoGrosseto
2.33Average goals in match2.89
LivornoGrosseto
8Goals scored (last 5)12
LivornoGrosseto
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
LivornoGrosseto

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal89%
LivornoGrosseto
33%2 goals67%
LivornoGrosseto
22%3 goals22%
LivornoGrosseto
0%4 goals11%
LivornoGrosseto

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal56%
LivornoGrosseto
33%2 goals33%
LivornoGrosseto
0%3 goals11%
LivornoGrosseto
0%4 goals0%
LivornoGrosseto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time11%
LivornoGrosseto
0%BTTS in both halves11%
LivornoGrosseto
33%Scored in both halves56%
LivornoGrosseto

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
LivornoGrosseto
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
LivornoGrosseto
80%BTTS - last 560%
LivornoGrosseto

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
LivornoGrosseto
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
LivornoGrosseto
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
LivornoGrosseto

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
LivornoGrosseto
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LivornoGrosseto
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
LivornoGrosseto

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grosseto is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - Livorno · 2.11 pts / match - Grosseto

Livorno - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing
Grosseto - half-time state
67% leading11% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)2.11
LivornoGrosseto
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.11
LivornoGrosseto
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
LivornoGrosseto
1Average goals (1st half)1.56
LivornoGrosseto
78%Clean sheet before half-time67%
LivornoGrosseto
44%No goal before half-time33%
LivornoGrosseto

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.78
LivornoGrosseto
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
LivornoGrosseto
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
LivornoGrosseto
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.33
LivornoGrosseto
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
LivornoGrosseto
56%No goal after half-time22%
LivornoGrosseto

Livorno - second-half results

33% W11% D56% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Grosseto - second-half results

44% W44% D11% L
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 56%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Livorno - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Grosseto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.60
Goals scored / match1.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Livorno
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
2
4
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Grosseto
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.61
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Livorno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Grosseto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
172%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

LivornoLigaGrosseto
Average goals in match▼ 2.332.50▲ 2.89
Both teams scored• 56%57%• 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%44%▲ 56%
Clean sheets▼ 22%26%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▼ 56%70%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%73%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Livorno and Grosseto play?

Livorno face Grosseto on 16 October 2026 in Serie C Group B at Stadio Armando Picchi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Livorno vs Grosseto?

Livorno score 1.22 goals per game on average and Grosseto 1.89. The Serie C Group B average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Livorno's matches and 56% of Grosseto's.

What form are Livorno and Grosseto in?

Over the last 5 games Livorno have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grosseto 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livorno vs Grosseto?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.