Livorno vs Gubbio: match statistics
Livorno vs Gubbio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Livorno play Gubbio in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Livorno: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Gubbio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Livorno scores 1.08 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Gubbio scores 0.86 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Livorno 53%, Gubbio 36%. Over 2.5: Livorno 58%, Gubbio 17%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Livorno has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.17. Livorno: 10.3 shots per match, Gubbio: 9.2.
Match halves
Livorno: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.58. Gubbio: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Livorno: 31-45+ (9 goals). Gubbio: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the draw because the numbers indicate balance: Livorno at home scores 1.35 goals per game with 3.47 shots on target and 13% conversion, but also concedes 1.35 goals, while Gubbio away scores only 0.81 goals with 3.31 shots on target and 9% conversion, yet concedes just 0.75 goals per match. Form over the last 5 matches favors the visitors — Gubbio has 2 wins in their last 5 and averages 1.4 points per game, Livorno has not won any of their last 5 and averages 0.4 points per game (0-2-3). xG shows similar offensive capabilities: Livorno xG for 1.31 and xG against 1.4 at home, Gubbio xG for 1.18 and xG against 1.61 away, suggesting the visitors limit conceded goals below expectation. Livorno creates more chances (10.41 average shots at home) and has a lower share of clean-sheet-less matches at home (18%), but in the last 5 games the hosts scored 5 and conceded 10, which weakens their home advantage. Therefore I expect a low-scoring draw or at most a narrow away win, hence the draw as the forecast preference.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Livorno | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Livorno is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Livorno · 1 pts / match - Gubbio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Livorno is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Livorno · 0.86 goals / match - Gubbio
Gubbio is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Livorno · 0.89 goals / match - Gubbio
Livorno scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
Gubbio scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Livorno
Over / Under — Gubbio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Livorno is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Livorno · 1.22 pts / match - Gubbio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Livorno
Gubbio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Livorno | Liga | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.26 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 39% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Livorno 0 - 1 - 0 Gubbio. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Livorno vs Gubbio?
The Serie C Group B match finished Livorno 3:0 Gubbio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Livorno vs Gubbio?
Livorno score 1.08 goals per game on average and Gubbio 0.86. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Livorno's matches and 36% of Gubbio's.
What form are Livorno and Gubbio in?
Over the last 5 games Livorno have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Gubbio 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livorno vs Gubbio?
The statistical background for Livorno vs Gubbio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


