Livorno vs Vis Pesaro: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Livorno presents stable form in home matches with 36% wins and a -1 goal difference, averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per match. Vis Pesaro stands out with an impressive 50% draws in away matches and better possession (52% vs 45%), which evidences a controlled style of play. Both teams have an identical point balance in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG) and similar xG values (Livorno 1.33 vs Vis Pesaro 1.34), which further confirms the even level. Vis Pesaro fails to score away less often (20% FTS) than Livorno at home (27%), but the hosts have a minimal home ground advantage, which slightly increases their chances of victory. Considering all factors, I expect a tight, tactical encounter ending in a split of points.
Livorno vs Vis Pesaro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Livorno played Vis Pesaro in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Livorno: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Vis Pesaro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Livorno scores 0.95 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Vis Pesaro scores 1.00 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Livorno 48%, Vis Pesaro 45%. Over 2.5: Livorno 57%, Vis Pesaro 30%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Vis Pesaro has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.34. Livorno: 10.6 shots per match, Vis Pesaro: 10.9.
Match halves
Livorno: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.57. Vis Pesaro: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Livorno: 76-90+ (5 goals). Vis Pesaro: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Livorno presents stable form in home matches with 36% wins and a -1 goal difference, averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per match. Vis Pesaro stands out with an impressive 50% draws in away matches and better possession (52% vs 45%), which evidences a controlled style of play. Both teams have an identical point balance in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG) and similar xG values (Livorno 1.33 vs Vis Pesaro 1.34), which further confirms the even level. Vis Pesaro fails to score away less often (20% FTS) than Livorno at home (27%), but the hosts have a minimal home ground advantage, which slightly increases their chances of victory. Considering all factors, I expect a tight, tactical encounter ending in a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Livorno | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vis Pesaro is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Livorno · 1 goals / match - Vis Pesaro
Vis Pesaro is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Livorno · 0.95 goals / match - Vis Pesaro
Livorno scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Vis Pesaro scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Livorno
Over / Under - Vis Pesaro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vis Pesaro is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Livorno · 1.45 pts / match - Vis Pesaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vis Pesaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Livorno
Vis Pesaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Livorno | Liga | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 2.25 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 37% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 31% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Livorno 0 - 0 - 1 Vis Pesaro. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Livorno vs Vis Pesaro?
The Serie C Group B match finished Livorno 2:1 Vis Pesaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Livorno vs Vis Pesaro?
Livorno score 0.95 goals per game on average and Vis Pesaro 1.00. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Livorno's matches and 45% of Vis Pesaro's.
What form are Livorno and Vis Pesaro in?
Over the last 5 games Livorno have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vis Pesaro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livorno vs Vis Pesaro?
The statistical background for Livorno vs Vis Pesaro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.