Livyi Bereh vs Kudrivka: match statistics

Livyi Bereh sit higher in the table, in 10th place compared with Kudrivka’s 16th, and above all are showing significantly more consistent recent form. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, with a 9:2 goal difference and an average of 2.2 points per match. During the same period, Kudrivka managed just 1 win, suffered 2 defeats and conceded as many as 10 goals while scoring 6. Away from home, the visitors lost their only match so far 1:5, had just 29% possession and created chances worth an average of only 0.32 xG, indicating limited attacking potential. Livyi Bereh’s superior current efficiency, combined with Kudrivka’s clearly weaker defence, points to a home win.

BTTS - No has a slight edge, as Livyi Bereh have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, with an xG against of 0.73. Kudrivka averaged 1.2 goals scored during this period, but their attacking xG is only 1.05, suggesting a limited chance of breaking down the hosts’ well-organized defense. The visitors, meanwhile, conceded 2.0 goals per game in their last five outings, while Livyi Bereh averaged 1.8 goals scored, making a home win with the visitors failing to score the most likely scenario. BTTS occurred in 40% of Livyi Bereh’s recent matches and 60% of Kudrivka’s games, while the league average is only 43%, which provides no strong argument for both teams to score. The season data is based on a very small sample, so the edge for BTTS - No remains moderate rather than decisive.

Current-season data is very limited, so greater weight is placed on the last five matches, in which Livyi Bereh averaged 1.8 goals scored and conceded just 0.4, while Kudrivka scored 1.2 goals and conceded 2.0. During this period, the hosts created chances worth an average of 1.84 xG, clearly more than Kudrivka’s 1.05 xG, while the visitors’ defense allowed opponents 1.03 xG. In the teams’ last five matches, the Over 2.5 goals line landed in 40% and 60% of cases, respectively, suggesting moderate potential for a three-goal outcome. However, the stronger signal is Over 1.5 goals: Livyi Bereh’s attacking form and Kudrivka’s 10 goals conceded in five appearances significantly increase the likelihood of at least two goals. The projected total of 2.60 goals also remains close to the league average of 2.86, although the hosts’ solid defense limits the probability of a very high-scoring game.

Livyi Bereh are in better form: they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded over their last five matches, remaining unbeaten, while Kudrivka have conceded an average of 2.0 goals and lost 40% of their games. The hosts held a lead at the break in 60% of these matches, scoring 1.2 goals per game before half-time and allowing their opponents just 0.2. Kudrivka concede an average of 1.6 goals after the break and have lost the second half in 60% of their recent matches, which supports the hosts maintaining or extending their advantage. The most likely outcome is therefore an HT/FT scenario in which Livyi Bereh take the lead before half-time and secure the win at full-time (1/1).