ŁKS Łódź II vs KTS Weszło: match statistics

KTS Weszło come into this match on the back of 5 consecutive wins, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 3 during that run, while ŁKS Łódź II have lost their last 5 games with a 3:12 goal difference. The hosts have failed to score in any of their home matches this season, despite averaging 1.63 xG and 6 shots on target per game, which clearly highlights a finishing problem. The visitors have won all of their away matches so far, keeping a clean sheet in every one, while their average away xG stands at 1.75. ŁKS concede an average of 1 goal at home and have not kept a single clean sheet, meaning that even with 57% average possession, they may struggle to contain the more clinical KTS side. The visitors are clear favourites given their superior current form, more solid defensive record and the quality of chances they create.

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by the teams’ current match profiles: in their last 5 matches, both ŁKS Łódź II and KTS Weszło recorded BTTS in 60% of cases. KTS averaged 2.4 goals per match during this period, while ŁKS conceded as many as 2.4, significantly increasing the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts scored only 0.6 goals per match, but their average xG was 1.41, while KTS allowed opponents 1.73 xG, suggesting that ŁKS should create enough chances to score once. In addition, ŁKS kept a clean sheet in none of their home matches, while KTS have yet to record a game without scoring. The main risk to BTTS is KTS’s very strong recent defensive record, having conceded just 0.6 goals per match; however, the hosts’ advantage in chance-creation metrics gives a slight indication towards the “Yes” scenario.

The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the league average is as high as 3.55 goals and 68% of matches exceed the 2.5-goal line. In their last five matches, ŁKS Łódź II conceded an average of 2.4 goals, while KTS Weszło scored 2.4 goals per game and won all five matches. The visitors’ attacking potential is confirmed by an average xG of 1.64, while the hosts allow opponents an xG of 1.67. ŁKS have shown weaker recent scoring form, averaging 0.6 goals scored across their last five matches, but KTS’s defense allows an average of 1.73 xG, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals in the match.

KTS Weszło have won all five of their last five matches, while ŁKS Łódź II have suffered five defeats, clearly strengthening the away-win scenario. The visitors held a lead at the break in 50% of their recent matches and conceded an average of just 0.5 goals before half-time, whereas the hosts were behind at half-time in 50% of their games, conceding an average of 1.25 goals. After the break, ŁKS scored an average of 0 goals and conceded 1.25, while KTS scored 1.0 goal and conceded none. In addition, the visitors have an average xG of 1.75, with 1.54 xG conceded, while the hosts, despite creating 1.59 xG, allow their opponents as much as 1.83 xG. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is KTS leading at half-time and securing the final victory (1/1).