Llandudno vs Cardiff MU: match statistics
Llandudno vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Llandudno played Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: The Giant Hospitality Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Llandudno: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cardiff MU: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Llandudno scores 1.91 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Cardiff MU scores 2.00 and concedes 1.18. League average: 3.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Llandudno 64%, Cardiff MU 36%. Over 2.5: Llandudno 64%, Cardiff MU 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff MU has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.39. Llandudno: 11.2 shots per match, Cardiff MU: 12.4.
Match halves
Llandudno: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.18. Cardiff MU: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Llandudno: 76-90+ (6 goals). Cardiff MU: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Llandudno have won 4 of their last 5 home matches and drawn one, while Cardiff MU have won 2 of their last 5 away fixtures. The hosts average 2.2 goals per game at home with an 18% shot conversion rate, while the visitors score 1.6 goals away from home with a 13% conversion rate. Cardiff MU’s defence is solid, conceding an average of 0.6 goals away compared with 0.8 for Llandudno, but they allow opponents chances worth 1.23 xG, whereas Llandudno concede 0.88 xG at home. However, over their last 5 matches overall, Llandudno have conceded 11 goals, while Cardiff MU have let in just 6, so a home win is far from certain. Home advantage and Llandudno’s attacking efficiency tip the balance in the prediction, although the visitors’ away xG of 1.55 compared with the hosts’ home xG of 1.41 points to a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I’m backing both teams to score, although Cardiff MU’s statistics call for caution. Llandudno average 2.6 goals at home, while Cardiff MU score 1.6 away; the hosts also concede an average of 2.0 goals, which increases the chances of the visitors finding the net. Both teams scored in 80% of Llandudno’s and 60% of Cardiff MU’s matches over their last five games, so recent form points towards BTTS - Yes. The counterargument is Cardiff MU’s away record: both teams scored in just 20% of those matches, while the visitors kept a clean sheet in 40%. Even so, the chances of goals at both ends appear slightly higher, particularly as Llandudno conceded an average of 2.2 goals over their last five matches, while Cardiff MU scored 2.0.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Llandudno average 2.6 goals per match, but Cardiff MU concede only 0.6, so expectations for the hosts are below their season average. The visitors average 1.6 goals, while Llandudno concede 2.0; in addition, Cardiff MU’s xG is 1.55 against 2.17 xG conceded by the hosts, increasing the likelihood of goals from the visitors. In their last five matches, both teams went Over 2.5 goals in 60% of games, although across the full period analyzed, this occurred in 100% of Llandudno’s matches and just 20% of Cardiff MU’s. This disparity calls for caution with higher goal lines, while the projection of 3.05 goals and an 81% chance of at least two goals makes Over 1.5 the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Llandudno led at the break in 4 of their 5 home matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals in first halves, while Cardiff MU averaged 0.6 goals over the same period. This is the strongest argument for the hosts to be ahead after 45 minutes. Holding on to that advantage is possible, as Llandudno average 1.4 goals after the break, while Cardiff MU concede only 0.4 goals in the second halves of away matches. However, the 1/1 pick carries significant risk: the hosts concede an average of 1.8 goals after the break and have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas the visitors have lost only once. Despite this, Llandudno leading from half-time to full-time has the highest individual probability, primarily thanks to their first-half record at home.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Llandudno | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cardiff MU is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Llandudno · 1.2 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff MU is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Llandudno · 2 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Cardiff MU is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Llandudno · 1.18 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Llandudno scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
Cardiff MU scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Llandudno keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Llandudno
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff MU is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Llandudno · 1.91 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Llandudno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 45%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Llandudno
Cardiff MU
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Llandudno | Liga | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.55 | 3.34 | ▼ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Llandudno vs Cardiff MU?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Llandudno 0:1 Cardiff MU. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Llandudno vs Cardiff MU?
Llandudno score 1.91 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 2.00. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Llandudno's matches and 36% of Cardiff MU's.
What form are Llandudno and Cardiff MU in?
Over the last 5 games Llandudno have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cardiff MU 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llandudno vs Cardiff MU?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.