Llandudno vs Haverfordwest County: match statistics

Llandudno have won all of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 3 goals per game, while Haverfordwest County have lost all four league matches and are yet to score. The hosts create significantly more chances: their average home xG stands at 1.73, while their opponents allow as much as 3.30 xG away from home. Llandudno’s dominance is also evident in their control of the game, with the hosts enjoying 60% possession and registering 16 shots per match, compared with Haverfordwest’s mere 21% possession and 4 shots. The visitors have lost their last five matches, conceding 13 goals in the process, and average 2 goals conceded away from home, which clearly points towards a comfortable home win. The possibility of a goal for the visitors is supported by the fact that Llandudno have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, but Haverfordwest’s attacking struggles remain the key factor.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Haverfordwest County’s attack: the team has failed to score both this season and in its last 5 matches, losing all five games. The visitors create just 0.71 xG per match on average, rising to 0.95 xG across their last five appearances, with only 4.0 shots per game. Llandudno have conceded an average of 2.33 goals this season, but their last 5 matches show an improvement to 1.6 goals conceded and 1.14 xG against. The hosts are far more dangerous going forward, scoring 2.4 goals per game recently, while the opponents’ weak defence allows 2.0 xG. Therefore, a Llandudno goal without a required response from the visitors is the likely scenario. Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 0%, compared with the league average of just 41%, further supporting the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

Llandudno have averaged 2.4 goals scored over their last five matches, while Haverfordwest County have conceded as many as 2.6 goals per game during the same period, clearly suggesting a home advantage. At the same time, the visitors have failed to score in both their last five appearances and all available league matches this season, with their average xG over the five-game sample standing at just 0.95. The hosts should create chances, as their xG from the last five matches is 1.70, compared with the 2.00 xG their opponents concede on average. Despite Llandudno’s potential to win, both teams have recorded Under 3.5 goals in 100% of their matches this season, making a controlled home victory without four goals in the game the most likely scenario.

The strongest HT/FT scenario appears to be a draw at half-time followed by a Llandudno win, as the hosts have averaged 1.2 goals before the break in their last five matches, while Haverfordwest have failed to score in that period. The visitors have lost all five of their last matches, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game, whereas Llandudno have won three of their last five and averaged 2.4 goals scored. The opening stages could nevertheless be even: Haverfordwest were drawing at half-time in 40% of their recent matches, while the hosts led after 45 minutes in only 20%. After the break, Llandudno’s advantage should increase, as they averaged 1.2 goals in the second half, while their opponents conceded an average of 1.6 and failed to score after half-time in 100% of their last five matches. In addition, the hosts’ xG stands at 1.09, while Haverfordwest’s xG conceded is as high as 3.30, clearly strengthening the scenario of a home win at full-time.