Llanelli Town vs Cardiff MU: match statistics
Cardiff MU are in significantly better form and boast superior statistics compared to Llanelli Town. The hosts sit in 12th place in the table with a disastrous record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats, having conceded as many as 68 goals this season. Llanelli have lost 79% of their home games and have failed to win any of their last 5 matches. Cardiff MU, although also without a win recently, possess a much stronger away record (21% wins, 57% draws) and offensive efficiency (1.43 goals per away game). The visitors' positive goal difference on the road (+2) and a significantly higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 6%) strongly favor a Cardiff MU victory. Cardiff MU's high away draw percentage (57%) also supports a considerable probability of a draw, but the hosts' frailty makes an away win the most likely outcome.
Llanelli Town vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Llanelli Town played Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Llanelli Town: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Cardiff MU: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Llanelli Town scores 0.50 and concedes 2.43 goals per match. Cardiff MU scores 1.29 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Llanelli Town 39%, Cardiff MU 64%. Over 2.5: Llanelli Town 54%, Cardiff MU 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff MU has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.13. Llanelli Town: 8.6 shots per match, Cardiff MU: 10.4.
Match halves
Llanelli Town: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.14. Cardiff MU: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Llanelli Town: 16-30 (6 goals). Cardiff MU: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cardiff MU are in significantly better form and boast superior statistics compared to Llanelli Town. The hosts sit in 12th place in the table with a disastrous record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats, having conceded as many as 68 goals this season. Llanelli have lost 79% of their home games and have failed to win any of their last 5 matches. Cardiff MU, although also without a win recently, possess a much stronger away record (21% wins, 57% draws) and offensive efficiency (1.43 goals per away game). The visitors' positive goal difference on the road (+2) and a significantly higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 6%) strongly favor a Cardiff MU victory. Cardiff MU's high away draw percentage (57%) also supports a considerable probability of a draw, but the hosts' frailty makes an away win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Llanelli Town | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cardiff MU is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Llanelli Town · 0.6 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff MU is 158% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Llanelli Town · 1.29 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Cardiff MU is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.43 goals / match - Llanelli Town · 1.57 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Llanelli Town scores in 43% of matches (12 of 28 matches), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
Cardiff MU scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Llanelli Town keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Llanelli Town
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff MU is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Llanelli Town · 1.04 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Llanelli Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Llanelli Town
Cardiff MU
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Llanelli Town | Liga | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.93 | 2.95 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Llanelli Town 0 - 1 - 2 Cardiff MU. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Llanelli Town vs Cardiff MU?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Llanelli Town 1:2 Cardiff MU. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Llanelli Town and Cardiff MU?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Llanelli Town won 0, Cardiff MU won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Llanelli Town vs Cardiff MU?
Llanelli Town score 0.50 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 1.29. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Llanelli Town's matches and 64% of Cardiff MU's.
What form are Llanelli Town and Cardiff MU in?
Over the last 5 games Llanelli Town have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Cardiff MU 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llanelli Town vs Cardiff MU?
The statistical background for Llanelli Town vs Cardiff MU — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.