Llanelli Town vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Llanelli Town played Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Llanelli Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Connah's Quay: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Llanelli Town scores 0.53 and concedes 2.71 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 2.00 and concedes 1.13. League average: 3.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Llanelli Town 35%, Connah's Quay 53%. Over 2.5: Llanelli Town 59%, Connah's Quay 73%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.19. Llanelli Town: 8.9 shots per match, Connah's Quay: 13.3.

Match halves

Llanelli Town: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.18. Connah's Quay: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Llanelli Town: 16-30 (3 goals). Connah's Quay: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

32Possession (%)68
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1Shots14
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1Shots on target4
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0.3xG1.74
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1Corners4
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
22Dangerous attacks79
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
12Fouls10
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
3Cards0
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0.53Goals scored / match2
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
2.71Goals conceded / match1.13
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
40%Average possession59%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
3.71Shots on target / match5.6
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.88Shots per match13.27
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
3.71Shots on target5.6
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
6%Shot conversion15.1%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
40%Possession59%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.19xG for1.77
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
2.05xG against1.03
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Shooting quality

Llanelli Town: BalancedConnah's Quay: Efficient finishing
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
Accuracy (shots on target)42%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.140.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Connah's Quay is 1200% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Llanelli Town · 2.6 pts / match - Connah's Quay

Llanelli Town
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
12% W12% R76% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-13
0.47 pts / match · goal difference -37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Connah's Quay
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
53% W27% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-3
1.87 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 0.84BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 277% better for: goals scored per match.

0.53 goals / match - Llanelli Town · 2 goals / match - Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay is 140% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.71 goals / match - Llanelli Town · 1.13 goals / match - Connah's Quay

Llanelli Town scoring profile: mixed

Llanelli Town scores in 41% of matches (7 of 17 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Llanelli Town keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

9Goals scored (season)30
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
46Goals conceded (season)17
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
3.24Average goals in match3.13
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
2Goals scored (last 5)16
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
13Goals conceded (last 5)4
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

How often they score at least...

41%1 goal87%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
12%2 goals53%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0%3 goals53%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0%4 goals7%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal60%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
65%2 goals33%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
53%3 goals20%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
35%4 goals0%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time20%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0%Scored in both halves40%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
40%BTTS - last 540%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time53%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 146% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.65 pts / match - Llanelli Town · 1.6 pts / match - Connah's Quay

Llanelli Town - half-time state
18% leading12% draw71% trailing
Connah's Quay - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.65Points per match (1st half)1.6
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.71Average goals (1st half)1.33
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
24%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
71%No goal before half-time47%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

After half-time (2nd half)

0.53Points per match (2nd half)1.8
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0.18Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.35Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.8
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
41%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
88%No goal after half-time27%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Llanelli Town - second-half results

6% W35% R59% P
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-17
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-20
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Connah's Quay - second-half results

53% W20% R27% P
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Llanelli Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.20
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-4-7
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Connah's Quay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.40
Goals scored / match1.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.82.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+7+5
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Llanelli Town
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
3
4
16-30
1
13
31-45
0
5
46-60
0
8
61-75
3
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
2
2
31-45
6
2
46-60
6
4
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.19
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 2.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Llanelli Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.86
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
32%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
179%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Llanelli TownLigaConnah's Quay
Average goals in match 3.243.17 3.13
Both teams scored 35%50% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%59% 73%
Clean sheets 12%30% 40%
Goal before half-time 94%76% 73%
Goal after half-time 65%73% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Llanelli TownGoalJack Norris
  2. Connah's QuayGoalNoah Edwards
  3. Llanelli TownYellow cardEthan Cann
  4. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Zeli IsmailOff: Max Woodcock
  5. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Callum WestOff: Dan Roberts
  6. Llanelli TownSubstitutionOn: Tristan JenkinsOff: James Lester
  7. Connah's QuayGoalHarry Franklin
  8. Llanelli TownYellow cardHarrison Bright
  9. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Callum BratleyOff: Declan Poole

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Llanelli Town 0 - 0 - 1 Connah's Quay. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Connah's Quay Nomads FC
3 : 0
Llanelli Town AFC

FAQ

What was the result of Llanelli Town vs Connah's Quay?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Llanelli Town 0:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Llanelli Town vs Connah's Quay?

Llanelli Town score 0.53 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.00. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Llanelli Town's matches and 53% of Connah's Quay's.

What form are Llanelli Town and Connah's Quay in?

Over the last 5 games Llanelli Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llanelli Town vs Connah's Quay?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.