Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of 07 September 2026

Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County: match statistics

115%(0.00)
X20%(0.00)
265%(0.00)

Haverfordwest County are the clear favorites for this match. Llanelli Town are in 12th place in the table with a disastrous record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and as many as 20 defeats this season, conceding 65 goals in the process. The hosts have won only 8% of their home matches, have not won any of their last 5 games, and lose their home fixtures 75% of the time. Haverfordwest County are in significantly better form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, better finishing (12% shot conversion vs the hosts' 7%), and an advantage in possession (50% vs 40%). The visitors also have a better xG record (1.28 vs the hosts' 1.02) and a significantly better defense, as evidenced by their 38% clean sheet rate away from home. The class difference between these teams is obvious, and everything points to a comfortable away victory.

Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Llanelli Town played Haverfordwest County in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Llanelli Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Haverfordwest County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Llanelli Town scores 0.56 and concedes 2.60 goals per match. Haverfordwest County scores 1.48 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Llanelli Town 44%, Haverfordwest County 44%. Over 2.5: Llanelli Town 60%, Haverfordwest County 60%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Haverfordwest County has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.15. Llanelli Town: 8.6 shots per match, Haverfordwest County: 11.4.

Match halves

Llanelli Town: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.16. Haverfordwest County: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.04.

Goals by minute

Llanelli Town: 16-30 (6 goals). Haverfordwest County: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Haverfordwest County are the clear favorites for this match. Llanelli Town are in 12th place in the table with a disastrous record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and as many as 20 defeats this season, conceding 65 goals in the process. The hosts have won only 8% of their home matches, have not won any of their last 5 games, and lose their home fixtures 75% of the time. Haverfordwest County are in significantly better form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, better finishing (12% shot conversion vs the hosts' 7%), and an advantage in possession (50% vs 40%). The visitors also have a better xG record (1.28 vs the hosts' 1.02) and a significantly better defense, as evidenced by their 38% clean sheet rate away from home. The class difference between these teams is obvious, and everything points to a comfortable away victory.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
4Shots16
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
1Shots on target9
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
0.57xG1.95
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
3Corners6
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
32Dangerous attacks43
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
10Fouls6
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
0Cards1
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
0.56Goals scored / match1.48
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
2.6Goals conceded / match1.56
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
40%Average possession50%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
3.56Shots on target / match4.4
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.64Shots per match11.4
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
3.56Shots on target4.4
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
6.5%Shot conversion13%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
40%Possession50%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
1.15xG for1.4
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
2.05xG against1.44
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

Shooting quality

Llanelli Town: BalancedHaverfordwest County: Efficient finishing
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
Accuracy (shots on target)41%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.160.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Haverfordwest County is 900% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Llanelli Town · 2 pts / match - Haverfordwest County

Llanelli Town
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
8% W12% R80% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-20
0.36 pts / match · goal difference -51
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-9
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.98BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Haverfordwest County
DLWWW
Season result split
36% W24% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-10
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-5
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Haverfordwest County is 164% better for: goals scored per match.

0.56 goals / match - Llanelli Town · 1.48 goals / match - Haverfordwest County

Haverfordwest County is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.6 goals / match - Llanelli Town · 1.56 goals / match - Haverfordwest County

Llanelli Town scoring profile: mixed

Llanelli Town scores in 48% of matches (12 of 25 matches), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).

Haverfordwest County scoring profile: very strong

Haverfordwest County scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Llanelli Town keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 matches).

14Goals scored (season)37
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
65Goals conceded (season)39
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
3.16Average goals in match3.04
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
3Goals scored (last 5)9
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
12Goals conceded (last 5)3
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

How often they score at least...

48%1 goal76%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
8%2 goals56%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
0%3 goals16%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
0%4 goals0%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

How often they concede at least...

92%1 goal64%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
68%2 goals48%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
48%3 goals32%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
28%4 goals8%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
Haverfordwest County - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 25 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time4%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
0%Scored in both halves16%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
24%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
60%BTTS - last 520%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Haverfordwest County is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.76 pts / match - Llanelli Town · 1.24 pts / match - Haverfordwest County

Llanelli Town - half-time state
20% leading16% draw64% trailing
Haverfordwest County - half-time state
28% leading40% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.76Points per match (1st half)1.24
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
1.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
1.64Average goals (1st half)1.08
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
28%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
64%No goal before half-time68%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

After half-time (2nd half)

0.36Points per match (2nd half)1.72
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
0.16Goals scored (2nd half)1.04
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
1.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.96
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
28%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County
88%No goal after half-time40%
Llanelli TownHaverfordwest County

Llanelli Town - second-half results

4% W24% R72% P
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-21
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-30
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding40%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Haverfordwest County - second-half results

52% W16% R32% P
31
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Llanelli Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Haverfordwest County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Llanelli Town
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
5
16-30
1
19
31-45
1
10
46-60
0
13
61-75
3
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Haverfordwest County
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
6
7
16-30
3
4
31-45
7
10
46-60
5
10
61-75
14
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Llanelli Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
36%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
179%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Haverfordwest County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Llanelli TownLigaHaverfordwest County
Average goals in match 3.163.01 3.04
Both teams scored 44%51% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%55% 60%
Clean sheets 8%29% 36%
Goal before half-time 92%75% 64%
Goal after half-time 76%75% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.01
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Haverfordwest CountyGoalDaniel Thomas Hawkins
  2. Llanelli TownSubstitutionOn: Jamie BakerOff: James Lester
  3. Haverfordwest CountyYellow cardKyle McCarthy
  4. Haverfordwest CountySubstitutionOn: Ricky WattsOff: Iori Humphreys
  5. Llanelli TownSubstitutionOn: Tristan JenkinsOff: Bradley Gibbings
  6. Haverfordwest CountySubstitutionOn: Owain JonesOff: Daniel Thomas Hawkins

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Llanelli Town 1 - 0 - 1 Haverfordwest County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Haverfordwest County AFC
3 : 0
Llanelli Town AFC
Llanelli Town AFC
1 : 0
Haverfordwest County AFC

FAQ

What was the result of Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Llanelli Town 0:1 Haverfordwest County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Llanelli Town and Haverfordwest County?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Llanelli Town won 1, Haverfordwest County won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Llanelli Town score 0.56 goals per game on average and Haverfordwest County 1.48. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Llanelli Town's matches and 44% of Haverfordwest County's.

What form are Llanelli Town and Haverfordwest County in?

Over the last 5 games Llanelli Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Haverfordwest County 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County?

The statistical background for Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.