Llanelli Town vs Penybont: match statistics
Penybont enters this fixture as the clear favorite, sitting 3rd in the table with 10 wins this season, whereas Llanelli Town ranks 12th with just 2 victories and a disastrous home goal difference of -17. The hosts have won only 10% of their home games, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match, and their recent form (5 consecutive defeats) is alarming. Penybont demonstrates solid away efficiency with a 50% win rate, averaging 2 goals scored per game, alongside a significantly superior shot conversion rate (18% vs 7%). Additionally, the visitors hold the edge in possession (49% vs 39%) and xG metrics (1.41 vs 1.05), confirming their offensive superiority. Taking all statistical parameters into account, Penybont should comfortably win this clash, though they may concede a goal given their away defensive record.
Llanelli Town vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Llanelli Town played Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 1 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Llanelli Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Penybont: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Llanelli Town scores 0.55 and concedes 2.65 goals per match. Penybont scores 1.70 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Llanelli Town 40%, Penybont 45%. Over 2.5: Llanelli Town 65%, Penybont 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Penybont has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.15. Llanelli Town: 8.6 shots per match, Penybont: 10.8.
Match halves
Llanelli Town: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.15. Penybont: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Llanelli Town: 16-30 (5 goals). Penybont: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Penybont enters this fixture as the clear favorite, sitting 3rd in the table with 10 wins this season, whereas Llanelli Town ranks 12th with just 2 victories and a disastrous home goal difference of -17. The hosts have won only 10% of their home games, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match, and their recent form (5 consecutive defeats) is alarming. Penybont demonstrates solid away efficiency with a 50% win rate, averaging 2 goals scored per game, alongside a significantly superior shot conversion rate (18% vs 7%). Additionally, the visitors hold the edge in possession (49% vs 39%) and xG metrics (1.41 vs 1.05), confirming their offensive superiority. Taking all statistical parameters into account, Penybont should comfortably win this clash, though they may concede a goal given their away defensive record.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Llanelli Town | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Penybont is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Llanelli Town · 1 pts / match - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 209% better for: goals scored per match.
0.55 goals / match - Llanelli Town · 1.7 goals / match - Penybont
Penybont is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.65 goals / match - Llanelli Town · 1.5 goals / match - Penybont
Llanelli Town scores in 45% of matches (9 of 20 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Penybont scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Llanelli Town keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Llanelli Town
Over / Under - Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Llanelli Town · 1.25 pts / match - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Llanelli Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Llanelli Town
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Llanelli Town | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 3.08 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 28% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 77% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Llanelli Town 0 - 0 - 1 Penybont. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Llanelli Town vs Penybont?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Llanelli Town 0:1 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Llanelli Town vs Penybont?
Llanelli Town score 0.55 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.70. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Llanelli Town's matches and 45% of Penybont's.
What form are Llanelli Town and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Llanelli Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Penybont 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llanelli Town vs Penybont?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Llanelli Town vs Penybont: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.