Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics
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Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Llaneros play Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 21 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana.
Current form
Llaneros: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Atlético Nacional: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Llaneros scores 1.00 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 2.06 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Llaneros 54%, Atlético Nacional 44%. Over 2.5: Llaneros 29%, Atlético Nacional 66%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.16. Llaneros: 10.3 shots per match, Atlético Nacional: 16.8.
Match halves
Llaneros: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.50. Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.34.
Goals by minute
Llaneros: 31-45+ (8 goals). Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Llaneros | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Llaneros · 3 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 106% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Llaneros · 2.06 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Llaneros · 0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Llaneros scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Atlético Nacional scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Llaneros keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Llaneros
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Llaneros · 1.44 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Llaneros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Llaneros
Atlético Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Llaneros | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 48% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Llaneros 0 - 0 - 3 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Llaneros and Atlético Nacional play?
Llaneros face Atlético Nacional on 21 September 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Llaneros and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Llaneros won 0, Atlético Nacional won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional?
Llaneros score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.06. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Llaneros's matches and 44% of Atlético Nacional's.
What form are Llaneros and Atlético Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Llaneros have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional?
The statistical background for Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.