LNZ Cherkasy vs Polessya: match statistics
This fixture promises to be an incredibly tight battle between two top-tier teams. LNZ Cherkasy is in impressive form with five consecutive wins and excellent home defense (78% clean sheets, averaging 0.33 goals conceded), though their home offense is moderate (averaging 1 goal per match). Polessya stands out with significantly stronger away efficiency (averaging 2.13 goals per match, 75% wins), a higher shot conversion rate (19% vs 7%), and superior possession (52% vs 48%). A key factor is the xG difference; Polessya generates better chances (1.35 xG), while LNZ boasts a solid defense (0.99 xG against). Given the hosts' strong backline and the visitors' offensive potential, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although both teams have realistic chances of victory in this balanced clash.
LNZ Cherkasy vs Polessya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
LNZ Cherkasy played Polessya in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
LNZ Cherkasy: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Polessya: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
LNZ Cherkasy scores 1.29 and concedes 0.47 goals per match. Polessya scores 1.65 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: LNZ Cherkasy 12%, Polessya 18%. Over 2.5: LNZ Cherkasy 18%, Polessya 35%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
LNZ Cherkasy has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.42. LNZ Cherkasy: 14.5 shots per match, Polessya: 12.5.
Match halves
LNZ Cherkasy: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.65. Polessya: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
LNZ Cherkasy: 31-45+ (7 goals). Polessya: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This fixture promises to be an incredibly tight battle between two top-tier teams. LNZ Cherkasy is in impressive form with five consecutive wins and excellent home defense (78% clean sheets, averaging 0.33 goals conceded), though their home offense is moderate (averaging 1 goal per match). Polessya stands out with significantly stronger away efficiency (averaging 2.13 goals per match, 75% wins), a higher shot conversion rate (19% vs 7%), and superior possession (52% vs 48%). A key factor is the xG difference; Polessya generates better chances (1.35 xG), while LNZ boasts a solid defense (0.99 xG against). Given the hosts' strong backline and the visitors' offensive potential, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although both teams have realistic chances of victory in this balanced clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| LNZ Cherkasy | Polessya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
LNZ Cherkasy is 50% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - LNZ Cherkasy · 2 pts / match - Polessya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polessya is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - LNZ Cherkasy · 1.65 goals / match - Polessya
LNZ Cherkasy is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.47 goals / match - LNZ Cherkasy · 0.65 goals / match - Polessya
LNZ Cherkasy scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 65% (11 of 17 matches).
Polessya scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while LNZ Cherkasy keeps a clean sheet in 76% (13 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - LNZ Cherkasy
Over / Under - Polessya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
LNZ Cherkasy is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.06 pts / match - LNZ Cherkasy · 1.76 pts / match - Polessya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
LNZ Cherkasy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Polessya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
LNZ Cherkasy
Polessya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| LNZ Cherkasy | Liga | Polessya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.76 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 12% | 45% | ▼ 18% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 76% | 33% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: LNZ Cherkasy 1 - 0 - 0 Polessya. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of LNZ Cherkasy vs Polessya?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished LNZ Cherkasy 1:3 Polessya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before LNZ Cherkasy vs Polessya?
LNZ Cherkasy score 1.29 goals per game on average and Polessya 1.65. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 12% of LNZ Cherkasy's matches and 18% of Polessya's.
What form are LNZ Cherkasy and Polessya in?
Over the last 5 games LNZ Cherkasy have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Polessya 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for LNZ Cherkasy vs Polessya?
The statistical background for LNZ Cherkasy vs Polessya — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.