Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar: match statistics
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa played Nesebar in Second League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 15 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Lokomotiv. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nesebar: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa scores 0.88 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Nesebar scores 1.88 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 38%, Nesebar 50%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 38%, Nesebar 50%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Nesebar has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.15. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: 8.9 shots per match, Nesebar: 10.8.
Match halves
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Nesebar: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: 0-15 (2 goals). Nesebar: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have significantly stronger home figures: they win 50% of such matches, score an average of 1.25 goals, and lose just 25% of their games. Nesebar are higher in the table and have scored 11 goals while conceding only 3 in their last five league matches, but away from home they average just 0.67 goals per game and have suffered defeats in as many as 67% of matches. The hosts have been defensively solid recently, conceding 4 goals in their previous five games, with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat. The visitors create chances worth an average of 1.50 xG away from home, more than Lokomotiv’s 1.19 xG at home, but their poor finishing and 33% of matches without scoring limit their chances of taking all three points. Home advantage and Lokomotiv’s more consistent efficiency point towards a narrow home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes scenario does not have a clear edge, as Nesebar averages only 0.67 goals scored in away matches and fails to score in 33% of them. Lokomotiv kept a clean sheet in 40% of their home matches, while in their last 5 appearances they conceded just 0.8 goals per game. In addition, BTTS landed in only 20% of Lokomotiv’s last five matches, well below the league average of 47%. The hosts should create chances, as they average 8.33 shots on target and have an xG of 2.02, but Nesebar’s strong current defensive form, conceding 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 games, increases the likelihood of a result with either the visitors or the hosts failing to score. Nesebar’s attack has improved recently, averaging 2.2 goals and an xG of 1.88, so the probability of BTTS remains significant, but it is not stronger than the signals pointing towards at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Lokomotiv averaged a high 2.6 goals per home game this season, but in their last five matches they have scored just 1.0 goal per game, with an xG of 1.30. Nesebar are in good scoring form, averaging 2.2 goals and 1.88 xG in their last five matches, while their defence conceded just 0.6 goals per game during that period. Both teams have recorded Over 2.5 goals in only 40% of their last five appearances, and the hosts conceded just 0.8 goals per game on average. For this reason, a total of two or three goals is the most likely outcome, while the Under 3.5 line is also strongly supported by the season-long data, with this result occurring in 60% of Lokomotiv’s matches and 67% of Nesebar’s games. The projected total of 2.50 goals provides a reasonable safety margin for an Under 3.5 bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lokomotiv led at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches, while Nesebar have not recorded a single half-time lead in their away fixtures. The hosts average 1.2 goals before the interval, compared with just 0.33 for the visitors, with Nesebar going into the dressing room without scoring in as many as 67% of their away games. Lokomotiv’s advantage is also evident over the full match: they win 60% of their games, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and registering 8.33 shots on target, compared with Nesebar’s 0.67 goals and 4.67 shots on target. The visitors’ recent form has been better, as they have scored 2.2 goals and conceded 0.6 per game across their last five matches; however, a turnaround scenario remains less likely than the hosts maintaining an early lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nesebar is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa · 1.88 goals / match - Nesebar
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa · 1.38 goals / match - Nesebar
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Nesebar keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Nesebar scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Over / Under - Nesebar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nesebar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Nesebar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Liga | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 31% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?
The Second League match finished Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1:1 Nesebar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.88 goals per game on average and Nesebar 1.88. The Second League average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa's matches and 50% of Nesebar's.
What form are Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Nesebar in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nesebar 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?
The statistical background for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.