Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Lokomotiv Plovdiv displays solid home form with a 60% win rate and impressive 60% clean sheets at their own stadium, yet their goal average (1.0 per match) and low conversion rate (11%) raise concerns. Cherno More stands out with better efficiency in away matches (1.2 goals on average), higher possession (54%), and a superior goal difference (+5 compared to the hosts' +2). A key factor is the visitors' advantage in xG statistics (1.38 vs 1.22 for the hosts) and a higher number of shots on target (4.1 vs 3.6). The recent form of both teams is inconsistent, which further supports a draw outcome. Considering that both teams have a 30% rate of matches without goals scored and similar defensive statistics, I expect a fiercely contested, tactical encounter ending in a share of the points.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiv Plovdiv played Cherno More in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Cherno More: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 1.10 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Cherno More scores 1.25 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 45%, Cherno More 45%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 40%, Cherno More 35%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Cherno More has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.32. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 10.3 shots per match, Cherno More: 12.3.
Match halves
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.45. Cherno More: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 76-90+ (7 goals). Cherno More: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Lokomotiv Plovdiv displays solid home form with a 60% win rate and impressive 60% clean sheets at their own stadium, yet their goal average (1.0 per match) and low conversion rate (11%) raise concerns. Cherno More stands out with better efficiency in away matches (1.2 goals on average), higher possession (54%), and a superior goal difference (+5 compared to the hosts' +2). A key factor is the visitors' advantage in xG statistics (1.38 vs 1.22 for the hosts) and a higher number of shots on target (4.1 vs 3.6). The recent form of both teams is inconsistent, which further supports a draw outcome. Considering that both teams have a 30% rate of matches without goals scored and similar defensive statistics, I expect a fiercely contested, tactical encounter ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Cherno More | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cherno More is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.4 pts / match - Cherno More
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cherno More is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.25 goals / match - Cherno More
Cherno More is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.7 goals / match - Cherno More
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Cherno More scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Over / Under - Cherno More
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.7 pts / match - Cherno More
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cherno More - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Liga | Cherno More | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.40 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 33% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 1 - 0 Cherno More. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More?
The First League match finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1:1 Cherno More. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 1.10 goals per game on average and Cherno More 1.25. The First League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's matches and 45% of Cherno More's.
What form are Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Cherno More in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Cherno More 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.