Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia: match statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiv Plovdiv played CSKA Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 20 September 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. CSKA Sofia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 0.44 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. CSKA Sofia scores 2.56 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 22%, CSKA Sofia 56%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 22%, CSKA Sofia 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
CSKA Sofia has higher xG: 2.24 vs 1.14. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 7.9 shots per match, CSKA Sofia: 16.1.
Match halves
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.11. CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.44.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 0-15 (2 goals). CSKA Sofia: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CSKA Sofia sit 3rd and remain unbeaten this season, recording 6 wins and 2 draws, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 7 of their 9 matches. The visitors have scored 12 goals in their last five games and average 2 points per match, whereas the hosts have managed just 2 goals during that period and suffered four defeats. Away from home, CSKA create significantly more high-quality chances, averaging 2.26 xG compared with Lokomotiv’s 1.22 xG at home, while also registering an average of 16.67 shots to the hosts’ 8. CSKA’s away defence concedes just 0.33 goals per match, has kept a clean sheet in 67% of games and restricts opponents to 0.99 xG, limiting the chances of a low-scoring Lokomotiv side. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as CSKA have drawn 2 of their 3 away matches, but the visitors’ advantage in form, chance quality and defensive organisation points to a CSKA victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes scenario has limited support, as Lokomotiv have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, with both teams scoring in only 20% of those fixtures. CSKA Sofia have a solid defence: they have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches this season and concede just 0.33 goals per game on average. The hosts have recorded an xG of 1.12 in their recent run, while CSKA allow opponents an average of 1.17 xG, which does not give Lokomotiv’s attack a clear advantage. The visitors should nevertheless find the net, having scored an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches, while Lokomotiv have conceded 1.4 goals per game. Although CSKA’s recent matches have produced BTTS in 80% of cases, the hosts’ poor current finishing and the visitors’ defensive strength provide stronger support for the BTTS - No outcome, meaning that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
CSKA Sofia have shown a very solid away defensive record, conceding an average of just 0.33 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of matches. Lokomotiv are in poor current offensive form: they have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 games, averaging 0.4 per match, with an xG of 1.12. The visitors are currently averaging 2.4 goals scored, but their away matches throughout the season have never exceeded the 3.5-goal line, while 67% have ended with a maximum of two goals. The average xG figures also point to a controlled game, as CSKA’s 2.01 xG combined with the 1.19 xG allowed by Lokomotiv gives the visitors an advantage, but not necessarily a high-scoring game. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as the hosts’ poor finishing and CSKA’s defensive profile limit the risk of four goals being scored.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a CSKA Sofia victory at full-time, as the visitors were level at the break in 40% of their last five matches, compared with just 20% for the hosts. Lokomotiv are currently in poor form: they have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring just 0.4 goals per game and failing to score after half-time in any of them. Over the same period, CSKA won 3 of 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals, including 1.6 after the break while conceding only 0.4. The visitors are also creating slightly higher-quality chances, with an average xG of 2.26 compared with Lokomotiv’s 2.18, while their average xG conceded is just 0.99. The hosts have a clear advantage in the season-long data, but current form and CSKA’s significantly greater efficiency after the interval point towards a full-time turnaround in favour of the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CSKA Sofia is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 2.6 pts / match - CSKA Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia is 482% better for: goals scored per match.
0.44 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 2.56 goals / match - CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.67 goals / match - CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 33% of matches (3 of 9 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
CSKA Sofia scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.89 pts / match - CSKA Sofia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Liga | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.78 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 24% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 68% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 81% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 - 1 CSKA Sofia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
The First League match finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1:1 CSKA Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and CSKA Sofia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1, CSKA Sofia won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.44 goals per game on average and CSKA Sofia 2.56. The First League average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's matches and 56% of CSKA Sofia's.
What form are Lokomotiv Plovdiv and CSKA Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and CSKA Sofia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
The statistical background for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.