Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: match statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv holds a distinct advantage as the host of this match. The team achieves a 46% win rate in home games and maintains a solid goal difference paired with a 46% clean sheet rate, indicating a stable defense at their own stadium. Septemvri Sofia suffers from very poor away form, with a mere 17% win rate and a massive 67% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per match and failing to score in half of their away fixtures. The disparity in goal difference is significant: the hosts sit at -3 in home games, while the visitors are at -19 on the road. The recent form of both sides is far from impressive; however, the xG statistics (1.32 vs 1.09) and superior home scoring efficiency tilt the scales in favor of Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Considering all factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario, though their weaker recent form could make it a closely contested match.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiv Plovdiv played Septemvri Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Septemvri Sofia: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 1.00 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Septemvri Sofia scores 0.92 and concedes 2.04. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 48%, Septemvri Sofia 46%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 36%, Septemvri Sofia 58%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.15. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 10.3 shots per match, Septemvri Sofia: 9.0.
Match halves
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.48. Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 76-90+ (9 goals). Septemvri Sofia: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiv Plovdiv holds a distinct advantage as the host of this match. The team achieves a 46% win rate in home games and maintains a solid goal difference paired with a 46% clean sheet rate, indicating a stable defense at their own stadium. Septemvri Sofia suffers from very poor away form, with a mere 17% win rate and a massive 67% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per match and failing to score in half of their away fixtures. The disparity in goal difference is significant: the hosts sit at -3 in home games, while the visitors are at -19 on the road. The recent form of both sides is far from impressive; however, the xG statistics (1.32 vs 1.09) and superior home scoring efficiency tilt the scales in favor of Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Considering all factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario, though their weaker recent form could make it a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Septemvri Sofia is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.2 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.92 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 2.04 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Septemvri Sofia scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.96 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Liga | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.24 | 2.32 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▲ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 44% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 35% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 1 - 0 Septemvri Sofia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
The First League match finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1:0 Septemvri Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 1.00 goals per game on average and Septemvri Sofia 0.92. The First League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's matches and 46% of Septemvri Sofia's.
What form are Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Septemvri Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Septemvri Sofia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.