Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: match statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv clearly dominates this encounter, sitting in 6th place in the table and showing solid form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The hosts have an impressive home record with 55% wins and 55% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.82 goals per match at home. Spartak Varna is in crisis, sitting in 12th place, without a win in its last 5 matches and with only 10% wins away from home. The visitors have poor offensive efficiency (0.6 goals on average away) and as many as 50% of their away matches end without scoring a goal. The difference in expected goals (xG 1.22 vs 0.89) and shot quality (3.64 vs 1.7 on target per match) further supports a confident home win.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiv Plovdiv played Spartak Varna in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Spartak Varna: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 1.10 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Spartak Varna scores 0.95 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.36 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 48%, Spartak Varna 62%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 38%, Spartak Varna 48%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.08. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 10.2 shots per match, Spartak Varna: 8.5.
Match halves
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.48. Spartak Varna: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 76-90+ (8 goals). Spartak Varna: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.36 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiv Plovdiv clearly dominates this encounter, sitting in 6th place in the table and showing solid form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The hosts have an impressive home record with 55% wins and 55% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.82 goals per match at home. Spartak Varna is in crisis, sitting in 12th place, without a win in its last 5 matches and with only 10% wins away from home. The visitors have poor offensive efficiency (0.6 goals on average away) and as many as 50% of their away matches end without scoring a goal. The difference in expected goals (xG 1.22 vs 0.89) and shot quality (3.64 vs 1.7 on target per match) further supports a confident home win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.4 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.95 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.52 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Spartak Varna scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.05 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Liga | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.36 | ▲ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 47% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 70% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 - 0 Spartak Varna. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
The First League match finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1:1 Spartak Varna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 1.10 goals per game on average and Spartak Varna 0.95. The First League average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's matches and 62% of Spartak Varna's.
What form are Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Spartak Varna in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Spartak Varna 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
The statistical background for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.