Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia: match statistics
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 holds a clear advantage in this match, playing at their own stadium against the weaker Septemvri Sofia. The hosts exhibit a solid home form with 46% of their matches ending in a draw and a positive home goal difference (+1), while the visitors suffer a disastrous away record with a 69% defeat rate and a -20 goal difference. Septemvri Sofia struggles to score on the road (averaging only 0.69 goals per match) and ends up scoreless in a staggering 54% of their matches. Lokomotiv Sofia possesses better xG statistics (1.45 vs 1.08) and a significantly more effective defense in home games (an average of 1.15 goals conceded vs 2.23 for the visitors). However, the hosts' high draw percentage (46%) suggests they might have difficulties closing out the game, which justifies a significant probability of sharing points. Taking all factors into account, a victory for the hosts is the most probable result.
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 played Septemvri Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Septemvri Sofia: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 scores 1.24 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Septemvri Sofia scores 0.88 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 56%, Septemvri Sofia 44%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 44%, Septemvri Sofia 56%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.14. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 10.4 shots per match, Septemvri Sofia: 8.8.
Match halves
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.76. Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 16-30 (8 goals). Septemvri Sofia: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 holds a clear advantage in this match, playing at their own stadium against the weaker Septemvri Sofia. The hosts exhibit a solid home form with 46% of their matches ending in a draw and a positive home goal difference (+1), while the visitors suffer a disastrous away record with a 69% defeat rate and a -20 goal difference. Septemvri Sofia struggles to score on the road (averaging only 0.69 goals per match) and ends up scoreless in a staggering 54% of their matches. Lokomotiv Sofia possesses better xG statistics (1.45 vs 1.08) and a significantly more effective defense in home games (an average of 1.15 goals conceded vs 2.23 for the visitors). However, the hosts' high draw percentage (46%) suggests they might have difficulties closing out the game, which justifies a significant probability of sharing points. Taking all factors into account, a victory for the hosts is the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Septemvri Sofia is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 · 1.2 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 · 0.88 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 · 2 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Septemvri Sofia scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 · 0.92 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Septemvri Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 | Liga | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.48 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 43% | • 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 44% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 35% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0 - 0 - 1 Septemvri Sofia. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia?
The First League match finished Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3:0 Septemvri Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 score 1.24 goals per game on average and Septemvri Sofia 0.88. The First League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's matches and 44% of Septemvri Sofia's.
What form are Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and Septemvri Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Septemvri Sofia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.