Lokomotiv vs Mash'al: match statistics
Lokomotiv vs Mash'al: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiv played Mash'al in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 11 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Lokomotiv. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Lokomotiv: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mash'al: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiv scores 1.65 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Mash'al scores 0.50 and concedes 1.95. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiv 75%, Mash'al 40%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv 60%, Mash'al 40%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.02. Lokomotiv: 13.2 shots per match, Mash'al: 8.1.
Match halves
Lokomotiv: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90. Mash'al: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiv: 31-45+ (10 goals). Mash'al: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiv are clear favourites: they sit 5th, while Mash'al remain 16th and have lost 18 of their 20 league matches. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 goals in the process, whereas the visitors have lost all 5 and scored just 2 goals. At home, Lokomotiv average 1.89 goals with an xG of 1.70, while Mash'al concede as many as 2.50 goals per away match and have kept no clean sheets. The hosts’ advantage in chance creation is also significant: they average 13.56 shots and 5.22 shots on target per match, compared with 7.56 attempts and 2.89 on target for their opponents. Mash'al have lost 100% of their away matches, and their averages of 0.70 goals and 0.93 xG away from home indicate that Lokomotiv should control the game and secure the win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points toward BTTS - No, primarily due to Mash'al's limited attacking efficiency: the visitors average just 0.7 goals per season and only 0.4 over their last 5 matches. Mash'al have lost their last five games, scoring just 2 goals in total, with both teams finding the net in only 20% of those matches. Lokomotiv have been considerably more dangerous recently, averaging 2.2 goals per game across their last five appearances, yet the hosts have recorded BTTS in only 20% of the season overall. Although Mash'al have failed to keep a clean sheet and concede an average of 2.5 goals, the more likely scenario is that Lokomotiv exploit their opponents' defensive weakness while the visitors once again fail to respond with a goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Lokomotiv are in excellent form: they have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Mash'al have conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game over the same period. The hosts should therefore create more chances, which is also supported by their recent xG of 1.43 compared with Mash'al’s average xG conceded of 1.73. At the same time, the visitors have scored just 0.4 goals per game recently, while Lokomotiv have conceded an average of 1.2 goals, so Mash'al’s contribution to the final score should remain limited. Over the season, the hosts have seen Under 2.5 goals in as many as 90% of their matches, while both teams have recorded Under 3.5 goals in 80-90% of games. Lokomotiv’s superiority increases the likelihood of 2-3 goals, but Mash'al’s low scoring efficiency and the very strong data for the lower line make Under 3.5 goals the most valuable option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Lokomotiv leading at the break and securing the win at full time, as the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. Mash'al have lost all 5 of their last matches, scoring just 0.4 goals per game over that period while conceding as many as 2.4. Lokomotiv led at half-time in 40% of their last five appearances, while Mash'al were behind at the break in 80% of theirs and scored just 0.2 goals before half-time. After the interval, the hosts are also in good form: across their last five matches, they averaged 1.0 goals scored and conceded only 0.2, while the visitors averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The season-long xG figures are moderately favourable to Lokomotiv, at 1.07 compared with 0.93, while Mash'al's defence allows opponents an average of 1.85 xG, further supporting the 1/1 HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv is 230% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Lokomotiv · 0.5 goals / match - Mash'al
Lokomotiv is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Lokomotiv · 1.95 goals / match - Mash'al
Lokomotiv scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
Mash'al scores in 45% of matches (9 of 20 matches), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiv
Over / Under - Mash'al
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv is 225% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Lokomotiv · 0.4 pts / match - Mash'al
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mash'al - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiv
Mash'al
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv | Liga | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- LokomotivGoalJafar Bahodirov
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lokomotiv 1 - 0 - 0 Mash'al. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv vs Mash'al?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Lokomotiv 3:0 Mash'al. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv vs Mash'al?
Lokomotiv score 1.65 goals per game on average and Mash'al 0.50. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Lokomotiv's matches and 40% of Mash'al's.
What form are Lokomotiv and Mash'al in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mash'al 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv vs Mash'al?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.