Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica: match statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The home team shows a 40% win rate at home with only 30% losses, while Gorica wins only 22% of matches on the road and loses as many as 44%. A key factor is also average possession – Lokomotiva dominates with 52% in home matches, which translates to greater game control. Gorica has not kept a single clean sheet away this season, evidencing defensive problems. Although both teams have weaker form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG), the hosts have a better goal difference at home (-1) than Gorica does away (-2). xG statistics also favor Lokomotiva (1.4 vs 1.41 for Gorica), with the hosts defending more effectively in their own environment. All these factors indicate a moderate advantage for the hosts, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the even recent form of both teams.
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiva Zagreb played Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gorica: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.15 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.15 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiva Zagreb 80%, Gorica 65%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiva Zagreb 45%, Gorica 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiva Zagreb has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.36. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 11.0 shots per match, Gorica: 11.3.
Match halves
Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.55. Gorica: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (7 goals). Gorica: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiva Zagreb holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The home team shows a 40% win rate at home with only 30% losses, while Gorica wins only 22% of matches on the road and loses as many as 44%. A key factor is also average possession – Lokomotiva dominates with 52% in home matches, which translates to greater game control. Gorica has not kept a single clean sheet away this season, evidencing defensive problems. Although both teams have weaker form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG), the hosts have a better goal difference at home (-1) than Gorica does away (-2). xG statistics also favor Lokomotiva (1.4 vs 1.41 for Gorica), with the hosts defending more effectively in their own environment. All these factors indicate a moderate advantage for the hosts, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the even recent form of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.45 goals / match - Gorica
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Gorica scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.5 pts / match - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 22% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 - 0 - 2 Gorica. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished Lokomotiva Zagreb 3:0 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Gorica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva Zagreb won 0, Gorica won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.15 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.15. The Prva HNL average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's matches and 65% of Gorica's.
What form are Lokomotiva Zagreb and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gorica 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.