Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek: match statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb display a significantly superior home form with a 45% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per match at home while conceding 1.18, giving them an edge over Osijek, who have a mere 10% win rate in away matches and a negative goal difference of -7. Osijek concede an average of 1.7 goals per away game and score only 1 goal per match, which, combined with their poor conversion rate (8%) and 60% away defeats, places them in a difficult situation. The form of both teams in their last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Considering the xG statistics, home advantage, and Osijek's evident weakness on the road, Lokomotiva Zagreb have a realistic chance of securing three points, although both teams' history of draws suggests a share of the points is also a possibility.
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiva Zagreb played Osijek in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Osijek: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.18 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Osijek scores 0.82 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiva Zagreb 73%, Osijek 45%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiva Zagreb 45%, Osijek 41%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Osijek has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.36. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 10.6 shots per match, Osijek: 12.2.
Match halves
Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.55. Osijek: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (8 goals). Osijek: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiva Zagreb display a significantly superior home form with a 45% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per match at home while conceding 1.18, giving them an edge over Osijek, who have a mere 10% win rate in away matches and a negative goal difference of -7. Osijek concede an average of 1.7 goals per away game and score only 1 goal per match, which, combined with their poor conversion rate (8%) and 60% away defeats, places them in a difficult situation. The form of both teams in their last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Considering the xG statistics, home advantage, and Osijek's evident weakness on the road, Lokomotiva Zagreb have a realistic chance of securing three points, although both teams' history of draws suggests a share of the points is also a possibility.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lokomotiva Zagreb is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 0.8 pts / match - Osijek
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiva Zagreb is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 0.82 goals / match - Osijek
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Osijek scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Over / Under - Osijek
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiva Zagreb is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.09 pts / match - Osijek
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Osijek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Osijek
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Liga | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.73 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 - 2 - 0 Osijek. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek?
The Prva HNL match finished Lokomotiva Zagreb 3:1 Osijek. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Osijek?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva Zagreb won 0, Osijek won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek?
Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.18 goals per game on average and Osijek 0.82. The Prva HNL average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's matches and 45% of Osijek's.
What form are Lokomotiva Zagreb and Osijek in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Osijek 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.