Lommel United vs Sporting Charleroi: match statistics

Lommel United are showing significantly more stable current form: they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 4. Over the same period, Sporting Charleroi have managed just 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, while their defence has conceded as many as 11 goals. The hosts are averaging 2.4 goals per game across their last five appearances, whereas the visitors, despite scoring 10 goals, have a considerably worse goal difference due to defensive problems. Charleroi sit higher in the table, in 4th place compared with Lommel’s 8th, but the current trend and home advantage favour the hosts. A Lommel United win is the most likely outcome, although a draw remains a realistic possibility given how early it is in the season.

The strongest signal for BTTS comes from current form: Lommel has recorded goals from both teams in 80% of its last 5 matches, while Sporting Charleroi has done so in as many as 100%. The hosts have averaged 2.4 goals per match during this period, compared with 2.0 for the visitors, indicating genuine attacking potential on both sides. Charleroi has also conceded an average of 2.2 goals and allowed 11 goals in five matches, so an in-form Lommel should find the back of the net. Meanwhile, despite conceding just 0.8 goals per match, the hosts have a high xG against them of 2.03, while the visitors' attacking xG stands at 1.82. League-wide BTTS efficiency of 78% provides further support, making a goal for each team the more likely scenario.

In their last five matches, Lommel averaged 2.4 goals, while Sporting Charleroi averaged 2.0, indicating clear attacking potential from both sides. The visitors conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game during this period, while the hosts scored 12 goals across five appearances. Overall, Lommel’s matches went over 2.5 goals in 80% of their recent games, compared with 100% for Charleroi; both teams scored in 80% and 100% of those matches, respectively. The quality of chances created also points towards goals: Charleroi’s average xG is 1.82, while Lommel allow opponents 2.03 xG. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.25 goals and both teams’ high attacking efficiency clearly reduce the risk of a very low-scoring game.

Lommel United are in excellent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 0.8. The hosts held a lead at the break in 80% of those games, averaging 1.4 goals scored before half-time, while Sporting Charleroi failed to lead at half-time in any of their matches and managed just 0.5 first-half goals on average. Charleroi are capable of scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals across their last five games, but they also concede as many as 2.2 goals per match and have lost 40% of their fixtures. The most likely scenario is therefore for Lommel to make the most of their advantage from the outset and then maintain their lead until the final whistle.