Lomza vs Bełchatów: match statistics
Lomza vs Bełchatów: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lomza played Bełchatów in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Lomza: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bełchatów: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lomza scores 2.19 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Bełchatów scores 1.65 and concedes 2.03. League average: 3.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lomza 48%, Bełchatów 68%. Over 2.5: Lomza 58%, Bełchatów 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Lomza has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.18. Lomza: 10.4 shots per match, Bełchatów: 7.2.
Match halves
Lomza: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.39. Bełchatów: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Lomza: 76-90+ (19 goals). Bełchatów: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.35 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lomża is the favorite in this match: they sit 3rd in the table, have 19 wins and 68 goals scored this season, and at home average 2.53 goals per game with no goalless matches (FTS 0%). Bełchatów are 12th, have 51 goals this season and on the road average 1.4 goals with 20% of away matches without scoring and a negative away goal difference (GD -7). Defensively the home side have a clear advantage: Lomża concede 0.93 goals at home versus 1.87 conceded by Bełchatów away, and the clean sheet rate is 47% vs 7% in favor of the hosts. Lomża also create more chances: at home they average 14.36 shots and 6.09 on target per game versus 9 shots and 4.33 on target for Bełchatów away, with the same conversion of 18%. Expected metrics confirm this comparison (xG 1.7 for Lomża vs 1.23 for Bełchatów, and xG against 1.12 vs 1.95) and considering form over the last 5 matches (Lomża 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss and 2.0 pts/game vs Bełchatów 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss and 1.6 pts/game) I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong BTTS signal: both teams have season BTTS rates of 63% (Lomza) and 73% (Bełchatów), versus a league average of 62%, and in the last 5 matches 60% and 80% respectively. Both sides frequently score and concede; average goals scored are 1.88 for Lomza and 1.40 for Bełchatów, while average goals conceded are 2.19 and 1.87, i.e. both teams concede roughly 2 goals per game. Last 5 matches show attacking form: Lomza scored 10 (2.0 per game) and conceded 5 (1.0), Bełchatów scored 9 (1.8) and conceded 8 (1.6), which increases the likelihood that both sides will score. xG and shots data also support BTTS: xG for Lomza is 1.13, xG against Bełchatów is 1.95, and average shots on target are 4.14 (Lomza) and 4.33 (Bełchatów), so chances should be created at both ends. Considering low clean sheet percentages of 19% and 7%, high 75%/67% of matches over 2.5 and 56%/60% of matches combining over 2.5 and BTTS, I assign 78% to 'Yes' and 22% to 'No' — the Goal/Goal scenario is clearly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
To calculate expected goals I used xG interactions: Lomza attack xG_for=1.13 vs Bełchatów defense xG_against=1.95 yields 1.54 expected goals for the home side, and Bełchatów attack xG_for=1.23 vs Lomza defense xG_against=1.41 yields 1.32 for the away side, totaling 2.86 goals. This aligns with seasonal figures: Lomza scores 1.88 on average, Bełchatów 1.40, while conceded rates are 2.19 (Lomza) and 1.87 (Bełchatów) and the league average is 3.34 goals per match. Arguments for the over are strong: Over 2.5 goals occurred in 75% of Lomza’s matches and 67% of Bełchatów’s (average 71%); in the last 5 games both teams have 60% of matches with Over 2.5, and BTTS is 63% and 73%. Therefore Over 1.5 looks almost certain (seasonal 81%/87%, projected 92%), Over 2.5 has significant probability (projected 71%), while the 3.5 line is more uncertain – seasonal Over3.5 is 56% and 47% (avg ~52%), but expected xG=2.86 is below 3.5, which gives a slight edge to Under 3.5. The strongest signal from the data is Over on the 2.5 line (consolidated seasonOver25 ~71% and expected 2.86 goals), therefore I recommend the "over" on 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lomża led at the break in 6 matches (40%) versus 3 instances for Bełchatów (20%) and scores on average 0.73 goals by half-time compared to 0.6 for the visitors, which favors the home side regarding the first half. In the last 5 matches Lomża’s form is D W W W L with a 60% win rate, while Bełchatów’s is D D W W L with a 40% win rate, so current form favors the hosts. After the break Lomża scored 6 goals in the 46–60 minute window, whereas Bełchatów scored 0 in that interval, and the average points in the second half are 1.07 for the hosts versus 0.8 for the visitors, suggesting Lomża more frequently decides the outcome after the break. xG is 1.13 for Lomża and 1.23 for Bełchatów, but shot conversion is higher for the home side (23% vs 18%), with both teams on season showing shots on target in 63% and 73% of matches respectively; however, both teams rarely scored by HT (both teams to score by HT in 20% and 27%). On this basis I consider the strongest signal to be a Half-Time draw with a home win (X/1) and assign it a 28% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lomza | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lomza is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Lomza · 1.6 pts / match - Bełchatów
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lomza is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
2.19 goals / match - Lomza · 1.65 goals / match - Bełchatów
Lomza is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Lomza · 2.03 goals / match - Bełchatów
Lomza scores in 87% of matches (27 of 31 matches), while Bełchatów keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
Bełchatów scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Lomza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lomza
Over / Under - Bełchatów
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lomza is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Lomza · 1.26 pts / match - Bełchatów
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lomza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bełchatów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lomza
Bełchatów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Lomza | Liga | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.16 | 3.35 | ▲ 3.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 62% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 20% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- LomzaGoalTymoteusz Klups
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lomza 1 - 0 - 0 Bełchatów. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lomza vs Bełchatów?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Lomza 5:0 Bełchatów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lomza vs Bełchatów?
Lomza score 2.19 goals per game on average and Bełchatów 1.65. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Lomza's matches and 68% of Bełchatów's.
What form are Lomza and Bełchatów in?
Over the last 5 games Lomza have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bełchatów 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lomza vs Bełchatów?
The statistical background for Lomza vs Bełchatów — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.