Lomza vs KTS Weszło: match statistics

KTS Weszło have shown clearly more consistent form, winning 4 and drawing 1 of their last five matches, while Łomża recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats. Both teams scored 13 goals during this period, but the visitors were significantly more reliable defensively, conceding just 4 goals compared with 7 for the hosts. Their average points haul from the last five matches stands at 2.6 for KTS Weszło and 1.8 for Łomża, confirming the visitors’ edge in terms of consistency. The start of the season also favors KTS Weszło, who won their only match so far 2:1, while Łomża lost their game 2:3. The hosts possess attacking potential, so a goal for Łomża is a realistic possibility, but the visitors’ superior defensive organization points to a KTS Weszło win.

BTTS - Yes is supported by the very high league rate of 78% of matches featuring goals from both sides, as well as an average of 3.89 goals per match. Łomża have averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last five appearances, while both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of the matches during this period. KTS Weszło have also scored 13 goals in their last five matches, although their average xG over this period is only 0.45, which reduces confidence in an away goal. The hosts have yet to keep a clean sheet in their home match, and their xG against stands at 1.87, so the visitors should have chances. Łomża’s attacking advantage, with an average of 2.0 goals scored at home, combined with their defensive vulnerability, slightly favors both teams finding the net.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have averaged 2.6 goals scored over their last five matches, with their games exceeding 2.5 goals in 80% of cases. Łomża scored 13 goals during this period, with an average xG of 1.78, supporting a projection of around 1.65 goals for the home side. KTS Weszło also scored 13 times in five appearances, but its average xG stands at just 0.45, lowering expectations for the visitors to 1.05 goals. The league is exceptionally high-scoring, averaging 3.89 goals per match, with 89% of games finishing over 2.5 goals. However, the limited seasonal sample size and the visitors’ low xG reduce confidence in Over 2.5 goals. The 1.5 line requires only two goals and offers a clearer edge over the 2.5 and 3.5 lines.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a KTS Weszło win at full-time, as Łomża were level at the break in 67% of their recent matches, compared with 40% for KTS Weszło. In the first halves, the home side averaged 1.33 goals scored and conceded just 0.33, while the visitors scored 0.80 and allowed opponents 0.60, limiting either team’s advantage before the interval. After the break, however, KTS Weszło show a clearly superior record: they average 1.80 goals scored, concede only 0.20, and win the second half in 60% of matches. Łomża concede as many as 1.67 goals per game after the interval and lose this period in 67% of cases, giving the visitors strong grounds to settle an evenly matched game in their favour.