Lorient vs Metz: match statistics
Lorient displays significantly better form, particularly in home matches where they have won 50% of fixtures and achieved a positive goal difference (+3). The hosts have secured an impressive 2.2 points per game in their last five outings, winning three matches, which confirms their good disposition. Metz, on the other hand, is in a dire situation, sitting in 18th place with an 88% loss rate away from home and a catastrophic goal difference (-17). The visitors have lost all of their last five away matches, conceding an average of 3.38 goals per game. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: Lorient records 1.51 xG in home matches compared to a mere 1.0 xG for Metz on the road. Taking all statistics into account, a decisive victory for Lorient is the most probable scenario for this match.
Lorient vs Metz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lorient played Metz in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Lorient: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Metz: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lorient scores 1.19 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Metz scores 1.06 and concedes 2.31. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lorient 50%, Metz 50%. Over 2.5: Lorient 44%, Metz 63%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Lorient has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.03. Lorient: 11.9 shots per match, Metz: 8.9.
Match halves
Lorient: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.63. Metz: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Lorient: 31-45+ (7 goals). Metz: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lorient displays significantly better form, particularly in home matches where they have won 50% of fixtures and achieved a positive goal difference (+3). The hosts have secured an impressive 2.2 points per game in their last five outings, winning three matches, which confirms their good disposition. Metz, on the other hand, is in a dire situation, sitting in 18th place with an 88% loss rate away from home and a catastrophic goal difference (-17). The visitors have lost all of their last five away matches, conceding an average of 3.38 goals per game. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: Lorient records 1.51 xG in home matches compared to a mere 1.0 xG for Metz on the road. Taking all statistics into account, a decisive victory for Lorient is the most probable scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lorient | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lorient is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Lorient · 0.6 pts / match - Metz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lorient is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Lorient · 1.06 goals / match - Metz
Lorient is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Lorient · 2.31 goals / match - Metz
Lorient scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Metz scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lorient
Over / Under - Metz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lorient is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Lorient · 0.69 pts / match - Metz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lorient - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Metz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lorient
Metz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lorient | Liga | Metz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.94 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Lorient vs Metz?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lorient 1:1 Metz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lorient vs Metz?
Lorient score 1.19 goals per game on average and Metz 1.06. The Ligue 1 average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lorient's matches and 50% of Metz's.
What form are Lorient and Metz in?
Over the last 5 games Lorient have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Metz 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lorient vs Metz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lorient vs Metz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.