Lorient vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lorient played Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Lorient: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Nice: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lorient scores 1.15 and concedes 2.08 goals per match. Nice scores 1.38 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lorient 54%, Nice 69%. Over 2.5: Lorient 46%, Nice 62%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Lorient has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.24. Lorient: 11.5 shots per match, Nice: 11.4.

Match halves

Lorient: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69. Nice: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.46.

Goals by minute

Lorient: 31-45+ (4 goals). Nice: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
LorientNice
18Shots9
LorientNice
7Shots on target2
LorientNice
1.92xG1.06
LorientNice
3Corners7
LorientNice
40Dangerous attacks47
LorientNice
7Fouls11
LorientNice
1Cards2
LorientNice

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.15Goals scored / match1.38
LorientNice
2.08Goals conceded / match1.77
LorientNice
44%Average possession46%
LorientNice
3.62Shots on target / match4.15
LorientNice

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.54Shots per match11.38
LorientNice
3.62Shots on target4.15
LorientNice
10%Shot conversion12.2%
LorientNice
44%Possession46%
LorientNice
1.3xG for1.24
LorientNice
1.28xG against1.85
LorientNice

Shooting quality

Lorient: BalancedNice: Counter-attacking
LorientNice
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nice is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Lorient · 1.2 pts / match - Nice

Lorient
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
15% W38% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-6
0.85 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
LWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Nice
WWLLL
Season result split
38% W15% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-6
1.31 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 2.21BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nice is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.15 goals / match - Lorient · 1.38 goals / match - Nice

Nice is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.08 goals / match - Lorient · 1.77 goals / match - Nice

Lorient scoring profile: very strong

Lorient scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

Nice scoring profile: very strong

Nice scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).

15Goals scored (season)18
LorientNice
27Goals conceded (season)23
LorientNice
3.23Average goals in match3.15
LorientNice
3Goals scored (last 5)6
LorientNice
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
LorientNice

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal85%
LorientNice
23%2 goals38%
LorientNice
23%3 goals15%
LorientNice
8%4 goals0%
LorientNice

How often they concede at least...

92%1 goal85%
LorientNice
46%2 goals46%
LorientNice
31%3 goals23%
LorientNice
15%4 goals15%
LorientNice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time31%
LorientNice
8%BTTS in both halves8%
LorientNice
23%Scored in both halves23%
LorientNice

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS62%
LorientNice
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LorientNice
60%BTTS - last 560%
LorientNice

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
LorientNice
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
LorientNice
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time31%
LorientNice

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
LorientNice
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
LorientNice
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
LorientNice

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nice is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Lorient · 1.85 pts / match - Nice

Lorient - half-time state
38% leading23% draw38% trailing
Nice - half-time state
54% leading23% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.85
LorientNice
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.92
LorientNice
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
LorientNice
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.54
LorientNice
62%Clean sheet before half-time54%
LorientNice
54%No goal before half-time38%
LorientNice

After half-time (2nd half)

0.85Points per match (2nd half)0.77
LorientNice
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.46
LorientNice
1.38Goals conceded (2nd half)1.15
LorientNice
2.08Average goals (2nd half)1.62
LorientNice
15%Clean sheet after half-time23%
LorientNice
62%No goal after half-time54%
LorientNice

Lorient - second-half results

23% W15% D62% L
18
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding39%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nice - second-half results

23% W8% D69% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding70%

Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lorient - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nice - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lorient
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
3
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Nice
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
6
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.19
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lorient

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
176%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Nice

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

LorientLigaNice
Average goals in match 3.232.91 3.15
Both teams scored 54%51% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 46%52% 62%
Clean sheets 8%27% 15%
Goal before half-time 77%69% 77%
Goal after half-time 92%82% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+47%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LorientGoalLaurent Abergel
  2. NiceYellow cardSofiane Diop
  3. NiceSubstitutionOn: Ali AbdiOff: Kojo Peprah Oppong
  4. LorientSubstitutionOn: Noah CadiouOff: Pablo Pagis
  5. LorientSubstitutionOn: Karim DermaneOff: Jean-Victor Makengo
  6. NiceSubstitutionOn: Jeremie BogaOff: Mohamed-Ali Cho
  7. LorientSubstitutionOn: Nathaniel AdjeiOff: Abdoul Bamo Meité
  8. NiceYellow cardIsak Alexander Jansson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Lorient vs Nice?

The Ligue 1 match finished Lorient 3:1 Nice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lorient vs Nice?

Lorient score 1.15 goals per game on average and Nice 1.38. The Ligue 1 average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Lorient's matches and 69% of Nice's.

What form are Lorient and Nice in?

Over the last 5 games Lorient have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Nice 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lorient vs Nice?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.