Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo: match statistics
Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Los Angeles FC played Houston Dynamo in MLS (United States). The match was played on 11 May 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Los Angeles FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Houston Dynamo: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Los Angeles FC scores 1.73 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Houston Dynamo scores 1.30 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Los Angeles FC 27%, Houston Dynamo 40%. Over 2.5: Los Angeles FC 45%, Houston Dynamo 40%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Houston Dynamo has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.42. Los Angeles FC: 12.8 shots per match, Houston Dynamo: 13.3.
Match halves
Los Angeles FC: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.09. Houston Dynamo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Los Angeles FC: 76-90+ (5 goals). Houston Dynamo: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Los Angeles FC shows strong home metrics: 6 home wins this season, averaging 2.17 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded per home match, with 83% clean sheets and a 67% home win rate. Houston Dynamo average 1.5 goals scored on the road but concede as many as 3.0 goals per away match and have only 25% clean sheets and a 25% away win rate, indicating clear defensive vulnerability away from home. The visitors have better overall form in the last five matches (4 wins and 2.4 points per game versus LA’s 2 wins and 1.6 points) and attempt more shots (14.75 vs 12.83) and possess higher away xG (1.62 vs 1.42), so they can create chances. Nevertheless, LAFC is more efficient at home (conversion rate 17% vs Houston’s 10%) and holds a favorable home goal differential (+9 versus Dynamo’s -6 on the road), which gives the hosts the edge. Considering the lower average goals conceded by the hosts (0.67 vs 3.0) and the high clean sheet rate 83% vs 25%, I tip a Los Angeles FC victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'BTTS - Yes' outcome appears more likely, as the league shows a high BTTS rate of 59% and Houston concedes on average 3.0 goals this season with xG against 1.69, indicating defensive vulnerability. Houston scores 1.5 goals on average and has xG 1.62, while LAFC has conceded 7 goals in the last 5 matches (1.4 avg) with xG against 1.73, so both teams have realistic chances to score. Offsetting this is LAFC's low season BTTS value of 33% (versus Houston 50%) and the fact LAFC averages only 1.17 goals this season and 5 goals in the last 5 (1.0 avg), which reduces confidence in a high-scoring game. Additionally, LAFC's season xG is 1.35 versus Houston's 1.62, and Houston produces more shots (14.75 vs 12.33) and more shots on target (5.5 vs 4.0), therefore based on these figures I give a 60% edge to 'Yes' versus 40% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Using a simple xG model (average of home attack xG 1.35 and away defense xG 1.69) I calculate expected goals: home 1.52, away 1.48, total 3.00 goals. That total of 3.00 is well above the 1.5 line and slightly above 2.5; additionally Houston concedes an average of 3.0 goals per game this season while LAFC concedes 1.0, which increases the risk of a higher-scoring affair. Shot statistics confirm offensive pressure: LAFC averages 12.33 shots with 4.0 on target, Houston 14.75 shots with 5.5 on target; their xG are 1.35 and 1.62 respectively. Comparing season metrics and form (over2.5: LAFC 33%, Houston 50%; in last 5 matches LAFC over2.5 60%, Houston 20%) I assign 82% probability to Over 1.5, 60% to Over 2.5 and 30% to Over 3.5. The best pick is Over 1.5, because the combined xG of 3.00, Houston’s poor defense (3.0 conceded on the season) and the league average of 3.2 goals per game provide the strongest, most reliable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw and a Full-Time home win (X/1), because in the last five matches both teams were level at the break in 60% of cases, and the average goals at half-time in those games is only 0.2 for the home side and 0.2 for the visitors. LAFC scores especially after the break: in the last five matches they average 2.0 goals in the second half, 83% of their games produce at least one goal after half-time, and this season they have scored 3 goals in minutes 61–75 and 3 goals in minutes 76–90 (6 goals after the 60th minute in total). On a season basis the home team averages 2.0 points per home match and wins 67% of home games, which increases the chance of a turnaround after the break. Houston is in excellent form over the last five matches (80% wins and 2.4 points on average), with more shots and higher xG (averaging 14.75 shots, 5.5 on target and xG 1.62), but seasonally they concede many away goals (3.0 on average) and concede late goals (3 goals conceded in 76–90). For these reasons I expect frequent draws at 45 minutes (low HT goals 0.2+0.2) and a second-half decision in favor of LAFC, hence X/1 is my strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Los Angeles FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Houston Dynamo is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Los Angeles FC · 1.8 pts / match - Houston Dynamo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Los Angeles FC is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Los Angeles FC · 1.3 goals / match - Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC is 147% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Los Angeles FC · 1.8 goals / match - Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Houston Dynamo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Houston Dynamo scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Los Angeles FC keeps a clean sheet in 73% (8 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Los Angeles FC
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Los Angeles FC is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Los Angeles FC · 1 pts / match - Houston Dynamo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Los Angeles FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Houston Dynamo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Los Angeles FC | Liga | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 3.20 | ▼ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 59% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 61% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 73% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 74% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Los Angeles FC 1 - 0 - 0 Houston Dynamo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The MLS match finished Los Angeles FC 1:4 Houston Dynamo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Los Angeles FC score 1.73 goals per game on average and Houston Dynamo 1.30. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Los Angeles FC's matches and 40% of Houston Dynamo's.
What form are Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo in?
Over the last 5 games Los Angeles FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Houston Dynamo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The statistical background for Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.