Los Angeles FC vs Sporting KC: match statistics
Los Angeles FC vs Sporting KC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Los Angeles FC played Sporting KC in MLS (United States). The match was played on 26 July 2026. Venue: BMO Stadium. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Los Angeles FC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Sporting KC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Los Angeles FC scores 1.76 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Sporting KC scores 1.13 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Los Angeles FC 41%, Sporting KC 69%. Over 2.5: Los Angeles FC 59%, Sporting KC 88%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Los Angeles FC has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.17. Los Angeles FC: 14.1 shots per match, Sporting KC: 9.6.
Match halves
Los Angeles FC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Sporting KC: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Los Angeles FC: 61-75 (7 goals). Sporting KC: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1) — Los Angeles FC holds a clear advantage in key metrics. At home LAFC averages 1.88 goals per game, 14.13 shots (4.5 on target) and xG 1.59, whereas Sporting KC away averages only 0.88 goals per game, 8.88 shots (2.88 on target) and xG 1.04. The home defense also looks superior: LAFC concedes 1.00 goal on average at home and records 75% clean sheets, while Sporting concedes 3.13 goals away with a clean sheet rate of 0% and a goal difference of -18. Additionally, Sporting have 50% of away matches without scoring, whereas LAFC fail to score in only 13% of home games, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have conceded 13 goals compared to 9 conceded by LAFC, confirming the visitors' defensive issues.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics strongly favor a BTTS - Yes scenario: Los Angeles FC has a season BTTS rate of 86%, while Sporting KC sits at 50% for the season and 80% in the last 5 matches. Sporting KC has conceded 39 goals this season (avg 3.13 per game), and Los Angeles FC has conceded 17 goals (2.0 per game), highlighting defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. LAFC creates more chances — 5.14 shots on target and 1.28 xG per game, and has scored 27 goals (1.29 per game), while Sporting KC has averaged 1.6 goals in the last 5 matches and has a season xG_for of 1.04, so the visitors can find the net as well. Additionally, the league averages 3.3 goals per match; Over 2.5 occurs in 71% of LAFC matches and 100% of SKC matches, and both teams have 0% clean sheets this season — all factors that increase BTTS probability, hence a recommendation of "Yes" with an estimated confidence of ~80%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining xG and goal averages yields expected values of 1.84 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.42 for Sporting KC (total 3.26). A Poisson simulation with an expected goals total of 3.26 indicates roughly an 84% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), 63% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and about 41% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Seasonal and recent metrics support this view: LAFC averages 5.14 shots on target and has xG 1.28 (last 5 matches xG 2.0); Sporting averages 2.88 shots on target and has xG 1.04 (last 5 matches xG 1.69); Sporting has conceded 39 goals this season versus 17 conceded by LAFC. Additionally, the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is high: LAFC 71% on the season and 80% in the last 5 matches, Sporting 100% on the season and 100% in the last 5 matches, and the last 5 matches also show high BTTS rates (LAFC 60%, Sporting 80%). Therefore the strongest signal is Over 2.5 (side: over, line: 2.5) with an estimated probability of approximately 63% and a combined expected total of ~3.26 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (LAFC leading at half-time and winning), because the hosts show superiority in chance creation (xG 1.28 vs 1.04 and 5.14 shots on target vs 2.88). By half-time LAFC averages 0.71 goals vs Sporting’s 0.25, and the hosts’ first halves include a goal in 100% of cases vs 88% for the visitors, so I assess about a 43% chance that LAFC will lead after 45 minutes. For the full match the hosts’ higher average goals scored 1.29 vs 0.88 and better shot conversion 13% vs 10%, while Sporting concedes on average 3.13 goals per game vs 2.0 for LAFC, increase the probability of a home win to roughly 46%. Additionally LAFC performs better after the break (average points in second halves 1.29 vs 0.75 and second-half win rate 28% vs 13%), therefore I assigned 34% to the 1/1 variant as the strongest single signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Los Angeles FC | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Los Angeles FC is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Los Angeles FC · 1.13 goals / match - Sporting KC
Los Angeles FC is 136% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Los Angeles FC · 2.5 goals / match - Sporting KC
Los Angeles FC scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Sporting KC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 16 matches).
Sporting KC scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Los Angeles FC keeps a clean sheet in 59% (10 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Los Angeles FC
Over / Under - Sporting KC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Los Angeles FC is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Los Angeles FC · 0.75 pts / match - Sporting KC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Los Angeles FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting KC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Los Angeles FC
Sporting KC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Los Angeles FC | Liga | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.82 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 60% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 76% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Los Angeles FC vs Sporting KC?
The MLS match finished Los Angeles FC 4:0 Sporting KC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Los Angeles FC vs Sporting KC?
Los Angeles FC score 1.76 goals per game on average and Sporting KC 1.13. The MLS average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Los Angeles FC's matches and 69% of Sporting KC's.
What form are Los Angeles FC and Sporting KC in?
Over the last 5 games Los Angeles FC have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sporting KC 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Los Angeles FC vs Sporting KC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.