Los Angeles II vs Real Monarchs: match statistics
Los Angeles II vs Real Monarchs: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Los Angeles II played Real Monarchs in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 6 July 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Los Angeles II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Real Monarchs: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Los Angeles II scores 1.73 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Real Monarchs scores 1.56 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Los Angeles II 80%, Real Monarchs 56%. Over 2.5: Los Angeles II 73%, Real Monarchs 69%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Los Angeles II has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.65. Los Angeles II: 13.9 shots per match, Real Monarchs: 14.1.
Match halves
Los Angeles II: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.00. Real Monarchs: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Los Angeles II: 61-75 (6 goals). Real Monarchs: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Los Angeles II show clear home dominance: 75% home wins and +7 goal difference, while Real Monarchs have 29% away wins and a -3 goal difference. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 8 goals and are 3-1-1 (avg. 2.0 points per game), whereas the visitors scored 6 goals, managed only one win and four losses (avg. 0.6 points per game), conceding 11 goals. Defensively Los Angeles II concede 1.00 goal per home game with xG against 1.52, while Real Monarchs concede 1.86 goals away with xG against 1.51, indicating that with similar chances created the visitors concede more often. In attack the hosts are stronger: 1.88 goals per home game, 5.25 shots on target and 54% possession versus the visitors’ 1.43 goals, 4.71 shots on target and 47% possession. Additionally Los Angeles II are shut out far less often (13% of matches without scoring vs 43% for Real Monarchs). I estimate probabilities: 65% home, 18% draw, 17% Real Monarchs.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor the 'BTTS - Yes' scenario: the home BTTS rate is 67% versus 43% for the away side, with the league average at 62%. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS at 60% each, with Real Monarchs conceding 11 goals in five games (avg 2.2) and Los Angeles II scoring 8 goals (avg 1.6). Additionally, Los Angeles II generates 1.79 xG versus Real’s 1.48 xG, while both teams concede around 1.51 xG, indicating realistic scoring opportunities from both sides. Low clean sheet expected percentages (11% and 14%) and high rates of matches over 2.5 goals (67% and 71%) further support 'Yes'. Considering these figures, I estimate BTTS probability at approximately 72% and select 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The analysis indicates Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: the home side have 89% of matches with >1.5 goals, the away side 86%, and projected xG is 1.65 for Los Angeles II and 1.50 for Real Monarchs (total 3.15). LA II averages 16.0 shots and 6.11 on target per match versus Real Monarchs’ 11.57 shots and 4.71 on target, indicating a clear offensive edge for the hosts. Seasonal percentages for Over 2.5 are 67% (LA II) and 71% (Real), which, together with the combined xG of 3.15, raise the probability of Over 2.5 to around 70%, while the 3.5 line is less certain. Although seasonal Over 3.5 rates are 56% and 57%, the projected combined xG of 3.15 and the last 5 matches (average goals 2.8 for the home side and 3.4 for the away side) reduce the reliability of a decisive Over 3.5, hence an allocation of ~48% for Over 3.5. I recommend backing Over 1.5 (92% vs 8%), because the combination of 89%/86% seasonal >1.5 frequencies, xG and shot advantage supports at least two goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Los Angeles II have won 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) and average 2.0 points in that period, while Real Monarchs have won 1 of 5 (20%) and average 0.6 points, which favors the home team for the full-time result. At Half-Time Los Angeles II were level in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), and the hosts have 89% of matches with at least one goal before the break, so a draw at Half-Time with goals is highly likely. After the break Los Angeles II average 16 shots (6.11 on target) and have a higher xG of 1.79 versus Real Monarchs' 1.48; additionally in the last 5 matches the hosts have scored on average 1.2 goals after the break, and Real have conceded 1.2 goals after the break, which supports a turnaround by the home side from a Half-Time draw to a Full-Time win. On this basis I tip a Half-Time draw and a Los Angeles II Full-Time win after 90 minutes (X/1) as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Los Angeles II | Real Monarchs | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Los Angeles II is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Los Angeles II · 0.6 pts / match - Real Monarchs
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Los Angeles II is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Los Angeles II · 1.56 goals / match - Real Monarchs
Los Angeles II scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Real Monarchs keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Real Monarchs scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Los Angeles II keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Los Angeles II
Over / Under - Real Monarchs
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Monarchs is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Los Angeles II · 1.38 pts / match - Real Monarchs
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Los Angeles II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Real Monarchs - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Los Angeles II
Real Monarchs
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Los Angeles II | Liga | Real Monarchs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.47 | 3.25 | • 3.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 75% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Los Angeles II 2 - 1 - 1 Real Monarchs. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Los Angeles II vs Real Monarchs?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Los Angeles II 2:2 Real Monarchs. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Los Angeles II and Real Monarchs?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Los Angeles II won 2, Real Monarchs won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Los Angeles II vs Real Monarchs?
Los Angeles II score 1.73 goals per game on average and Real Monarchs 1.56. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Los Angeles II's matches and 56% of Real Monarchs's.
What form are Los Angeles II and Real Monarchs in?
Over the last 5 games Los Angeles II have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Real Monarchs 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Los Angeles II vs Real Monarchs?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.