Loudoun United vs Louisville City: match statistics
Loudoun United vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Loudoun United play Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Loudoun United: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Loudoun United scores 1.20 and concedes 1.93 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Loudoun United 73%, Louisville City 56%. Over 2.5: Loudoun United 60%, Louisville City 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.38. Loudoun United: 11.3 shots per match, Louisville City: 16.5.
Match halves
Loudoun United: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.80. Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Loudoun United: 76-90+ (5 goals). Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 0-0-4. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.
Match description
I predict a victory for Louisville City (2). The visitors sit 2nd and on the road have 4 wins and 1 loss, averaging 1.5 goals scored and conceding only 0.5 goals per match; their away xG is 1.75 with xG against 1.08. Loudoun United are 23rd in the table, at home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, scoring 1.33 goals and conceding 1.67 goals per match, and their xG is 1.23 with xG against 1.84. Louisville creates significantly more chances (on average 14 shots and 4.5 on target per match vs Loudoun’s 9.67 shots and 3 on target) and have no goalless games (0% vs the hosts’ 33%). Form supports the advantage: Loudoun have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 (averaging 1.0 point per game), while Louisville have won 4 of 5 (averaging 2.4 points per game).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Loudoun United | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Louisville City is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Loudoun United · 1.6 pts / match - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louisville City is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Loudoun United · 1.63 goals / match - Louisville City
Louisville City is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.93 goals / match - Loudoun United · 1.56 goals / match - Louisville City
Loudoun United scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Loudoun United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Loudoun United
Over / Under — Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Louisville City is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / match - Loudoun United · 0.88 pts / match - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Loudoun United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 7%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Loudoun United
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Loudoun United | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Loudoun United 0 - 0 - 4 Louisville City. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
The USL Championship match finished Loudoun United 3:3 Louisville City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Loudoun United and Louisville City?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Loudoun United won 0, Louisville City won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Loudoun United score 1.20 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Loudoun United's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.
What form are Loudoun United and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Loudoun United have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
The statistical background for Loudoun United vs Louisville City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.