Loudoun United vs Oakland Roots: match statistics
Loudoun United vs Oakland Roots: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Loudoun United played Oakland Roots in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Loudoun United: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Oakland Roots: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Loudoun United scores 1.33 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Oakland Roots scores 1.71 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Loudoun United 67%, Oakland Roots 71%. Over 2.5: Loudoun United 67%, Oakland Roots 57%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Oakland Roots has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.21. Loudoun United: 9.7 shots per match, Oakland Roots: 10.7.
Match halves
Loudoun United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Oakland Roots: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Loudoun United: 31-45+ (2 goals). Oakland Roots: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I recommend a draw (X): both teams register very high draw rates — Loudoun has 75% draws at home, while Oakland has 67% draws away, increasing the likelihood of a shared outcome. Oakland, however, holds the table and attacking edge: they sit 6th versus Loudoun’s 23rd, have 12 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 8, and a higher points average over the last 5 matches 1.2 vs 0.6. Defensively the visitors look more solid — Loudoun concedes an average of 2.00 goals per home match, while Oakland allows 1.33 on the road, and average xG against is 1.87 vs 1.44 in Oakland’s favor. Offensively the teams are similar (average xG 1.32 for Loudoun vs 1.29 for Oakland, average shots 10.5 vs 11 and shots on target 3.5 vs 3.33), so I expect a low-scoring game, most likely 1-1.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong signal for BTTS - Yes: both teams have seasonal BTTS rates of 75% (Loudoun) and 67% (Oakland), with last 5 matches at 60% and 80% respectively, indicating frequent goal exchanges. Loudoun averages 1.75 goals per game seasonally (last 5: 1.2), Oakland 1.67 seasonally (last 5: 1.6); simultaneously they concede 1.25 and 1.33 goals per game seasonally (last 5: 1.6 and 1.4), so both sides show offensive potential and defensive vulnerabilities. xG values confirm this: Loudoun attack xG is 1.32 while opponent xG against them is 1.50; Oakland attack xG is 1.29 and opponent xG 1.44 — both generate around 1.3 xG and allow ~1.45 xG, translating into realistic scoring chances from both sides. Additionally, the home side has no clean sheets this season (0% matches without conceding) and fails to score in 25% of matches, whereas the visitors have not had a match without scoring (0% matches without a goal) and have 33% clean sheets; this means the visitors almost always score and the hosts regularly concede. Considering seasonal BTTS 75% vs 67%, last 5: 60% vs 80%, xG and goal averages, I assess BTTS probability at 80% for 'yes' and 20% for 'no', therefore the best pick is 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model indicates Loudoun should score about 1.38 goals (xG_for 1.32 vs Oakland defense xG_against 1.44), and Oakland about 1.40 goals (xG_for 1.29 vs Loudoun defense xG_against 1.50), yielding a total ~2.78 goals. With lambda = 2.78 the Poisson distribution estimates probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈ 77%, Over 2.5 ≈ 53% and Over 3.5 ≈ 30%, which aligns with seasonal indicators. Season stats show strong goal signals — Loudoun has Over 1.5 in 75% of matches, Oakland in 67%, and BTTS is 75% (Loudoun) and 67% (Oakland), supporting the chance of at least two goals. Loudoun averages 5.0 shots on target vs 3.33 for Oakland and has a higher shot conversion (17% vs 15%), while both defenses concede around 1.5 xG per match (1.50 and 1.44), so the most reliable signal from the data is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: Over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/X: Loudoun leading at half-time, with the match finishing as a draw. Loudoun led at the break in 3 of 4 matches (75%), scoring on average 1.0 goals by half-time and conceding none (0.0), whereas Oakland led at the break in only 1 of 3 matches (33%) and conceded on average 0.67 goals by half-time. In the second half Loudoun concedes on average 1.25 goals, while Oakland scores on average 0.67 goals after the break and wins second halves in 67% of cases, indicating a strong turnaround by the visitors after half-time. Additionally both teams have high BTTS rates (Loudoun 75%, Oakland 67%) and season average goals of 3.0, which increases the likelihood of an away goal after the break and makes a Half-Time/Full-Time 1/X the most probable outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Loudoun United | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oakland Roots is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Loudoun United · 1.2 pts / match - Oakland Roots
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oakland Roots is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Loudoun United · 1.71 goals / match - Oakland Roots
Oakland Roots is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Loudoun United · 1.29 goals / match - Oakland Roots
Loudoun United scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Oakland Roots keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Oakland Roots scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Loudoun United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Loudoun United
Over / Under - Oakland Roots
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oakland Roots is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Loudoun United · 2 pts / match - Oakland Roots
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Loudoun United - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Oakland Roots - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Loudoun United
Oakland Roots
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Loudoun United | Liga | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.63 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Loudoun United 0 - 0 - 2 Oakland Roots. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Loudoun United vs Oakland Roots?
The USL Championship match finished Loudoun United 2:2 Oakland Roots. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Loudoun United and Oakland Roots?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Loudoun United won 0, Oakland Roots won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Loudoun United vs Oakland Roots?
Loudoun United score 1.33 goals per game on average and Oakland Roots 1.71. The USL Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Loudoun United's matches and 71% of Oakland Roots's.
What form are Loudoun United and Oakland Roots in?
Over the last 5 games Loudoun United have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Oakland Roots 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Loudoun United vs Oakland Roots?
The statistical background for Loudoun United vs Oakland Roots — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.