United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 08 September 2026

Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Louisville City play El Paso Locomotive in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 12 September 2026.

Current form

Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. El Paso Locomotive: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. El Paso Locomotive scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Louisville City 56%, El Paso Locomotive 73%. Over 2.5: Louisville City 50%, El Paso Locomotive 73%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.32. Louisville City: 16.5 shots per match, El Paso Locomotive: 11.2.

Match halves

Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00. El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). El Paso Locomotive: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.57)
(4.00)
(4.90)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
1.63Goals scored / match1.67
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
1.56Goals conceded / match1.67
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
53%Average possession49%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
5Shots on target / match4
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.5Shots per match11.2
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
5Shots on target4
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
9.8%Shot conversion14.9%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
53%Possession49%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
1.95xG for1.32
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
1.18xG against1.53
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

Shooting quality

Louisville City: AttackingEl Paso Locomotive: Efficient finishing
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
Accuracy (shots on target)30%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Louisville City is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Louisville City · 1 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive

Louisville City
DWDWL
Season result split
44% W19% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-6
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
El Paso Locomotive
DDLWL
Season result split
33% W27% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-6
1.27 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Louisville City is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Louisville City · 1.67 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive

Louisville City scoring profile: very strong

Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).

El Paso Locomotive scoring profile: very strong

El Paso Locomotive scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

26Goals scored (season)25
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
25Goals conceded (season)25
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
3.19Average goals in match3.33
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
7Goals scored (last 5)4
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal87%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
44%2 goals53%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
25%3 goals20%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
13%4 goals7%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal87%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
56%2 goals47%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
19%3 goals20%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
6%4 goals13%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

73%
El Paso Locomotive - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 15 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time40%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
25%BTTS in both halves20%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
31%Scored in both halves47%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
60%BTTS - last 560%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

El Paso Locomotive is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Louisville City · 1.33 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive

Louisville City - half-time state
6% leading69% draw25% trailing
El Paso Locomotive - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)1.33
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.93
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.73
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
38%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
56%No goal before half-time33%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)1.13
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
1.81Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
44%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
31%No goal after half-time33%
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive

Louisville City - second-half results

44% W25% R31% P
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding733%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

El Paso Locomotive - second-half results

27% W33% R40% P
20
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Louisville City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
El Paso Locomotive - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Louisville City
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
6
5
16-30
3
3
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

El Paso Locomotive
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
6
31-45
8
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.26
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-69%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Louisville City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

El Paso Locomotive

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Louisville CityLigaEl Paso Locomotive
Average goals in match 3.192.79 3.33
Both teams scored 56%58% 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 73%
Clean sheets 25%26% 13%
Goal before half-time 63%67% 87%
Goal after half-time 94%80% 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Louisville City 1 - 0 - 0 El Paso Locomotive. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

El Paso Locomotive
0 : 1
Louisville City

FAQ

When do Louisville City and El Paso Locomotive play?

Louisville City face El Paso Locomotive on 12 September 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive?

Louisville City score 1.63 goals per game on average and El Paso Locomotive 1.67. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Louisville City's matches and 73% of El Paso Locomotive's.

What form are Louisville City and El Paso Locomotive in?

Over the last 5 games Louisville City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and El Paso Locomotive 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.