Louisville City vs Indy Eleven: match statistics
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Louisville City played Indy Eleven in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 17 October 2026. Venue: Lynn Family Stadium. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Indy Eleven: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Louisville City scores 1.67 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Indy Eleven scores 1.21 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Louisville City 67%, Indy Eleven 54%. Over 2.5: Louisville City 56%, Indy Eleven 46%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.58. Louisville City: 15.5 shots per match, Indy Eleven: 13.3.
Match halves
Louisville City: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.96. Indy Eleven: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Louisville City: 16-30 (10 goals). Indy Eleven: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-1. Average goals 4.20, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Louisville City are the favourites: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals in the process, while Indy Eleven have failed to win any and have scored just 2. At home, Louisville win 46% of their matches and average 5.92 shots on target, while Indy win just 8% of their away matches and average 3.85 shots on target. The hosts score an average of 1.38 goals at home, whereas the visitors score 0.77 away and fail to find the net in 46% of such matches. Louisville’s edge is reinforced by the quality of the chances they create: their home xG is 2.09, compared with the 1.68 xG Indy concede away. A draw remains possible, but Indy’s 62% away-loss rate and 8 goals conceded in their last 5 matches point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Indy Eleven’s lack of attacking output: the visitors have failed to score in 46% of their matches and have managed just 2 goals in total across their last 5 games. Over the same period, Louisville City averaged 1.6 goals per match, while Indy conceded 1.6, making a home goal seem more likely. The season BTTS rates are 60% for Louisville and 46% for Indy, which is not as strong a signal for both teams to score. The visitors do generate an xG of 1.43, but their average of 0.77 goals scored per match and a shot conversion rate of 6% suggest they may fail to take their chances. Therefore, the “No” pick primarily reflects the risk that Indy will fail to score, rather than a prediction of a goalless draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Louisville City score an average of 1.6 goals, while Indy Eleven concede 1.54; moreover, the visitors have conceded in 92% of their matches. The hosts average 5.67 shots on target compared with Indy’s 3.85, strengthening the expectation that they will create more chances. At least 2 goals were scored in 80% of Louisville’s matches and 62% of Indy’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. Higher lines are less convincing: Indy failed to score in 46% of matches and averaged just 0.4 goals across their last 5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is Louisville City leading at the break and holding on until full time: the hosts led at half-time in 53% of their matches, while Indy Eleven were trailing at that point in 62%. Louisville average 0.73 goals before the break, while Indy concede 0.77, strengthening the case for an early home lead. The full-match figures also favor Louisville: they score an average of 1.60 goals compared with Indy’s 0.77 and have won 53% of their matches, while their opponents have won just 8%. In their last five matches, the hosts recorded three wins and the visitors none; moreover, Louisville averaged 1.0 goals after the break, while Indy failed to score. A half-time draw remains a notable alternative, as the hosts went into the break level in 33% of their matches. However, Louisville’s advantage in both halves points primarily to an HT/FT 1/1 selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Louisville City | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Louisville City is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Louisville City · 0.2 pts / match - Indy Eleven
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louisville City is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Louisville City · 1.21 goals / match - Indy Eleven
Indy Eleven is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Louisville City · 1.29 goals / match - Indy Eleven
Louisville City scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
Indy Eleven scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Louisville City
Over / Under - Indy Eleven
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Indy Eleven is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Louisville City · 1.29 pts / match - Indy Eleven
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Louisville City
Indy Eleven
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Louisville City | Liga | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.22 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Louisville City 3 - 1 - 1 Indy Eleven. Average goals 4.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
The USL Championship match finished Louisville City 4:1 Indy Eleven. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Louisville City and Indy Eleven?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 3, Indy Eleven won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Louisville City score 1.67 goals per game on average and Indy Eleven 1.21. The USL Championship average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Louisville City's matches and 54% of Indy Eleven's.
What form are Louisville City and Indy Eleven in?
Over the last 5 games Louisville City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Indy Eleven 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.