United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 23 July 2026

Louisville City vs Miami FC II: match statistics

Louisville City crest
Louisville City
4 : 1half-time 3:1
Miami FC II crest
Miami FC II
165%(1.44)
X20%(4.15)
215%(5.50)

Louisville City displays significantly better form over their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game compared to Miami FC II's 1.8 points. The hosts boast a positive record of 3 wins in their last five fixtures, whereas the visitors show instability with two defeats in the same period. Louisville City stands out with a superior defense, conceding only 2 goals in their last five matches, while Miami FC II has conceded 5. Additionally, the hosts sit in 7th place in the table, reflecting a solid league position, while the visitors are down in 16th place. Considering the hosts' advantage in form, defensive solidity, and higher league standing, Louisville City is the clear favorite for this matchup.

Louisville City vs Miami FC II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Louisville City play Miami FC II in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 14 March 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Miami FC II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Miami FC II scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Louisville City 56%, Miami FC II 50%. Over 2.5: Louisville City 50%, Miami FC II 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.34. Louisville City: 16.5 shots per match, Miami FC II: 11.3.

Match halves

Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00. Miami FC II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). Miami FC II: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

5 H2H matches: 4-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 60%.

Match description

Louisville City displays significantly better form over their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game compared to Miami FC II's 1.8 points. The hosts boast a positive record of 3 wins in their last five fixtures, whereas the visitors show instability with two defeats in the same period. Louisville City stands out with a superior defense, conceding only 2 goals in their last five matches, while Miami FC II has conceded 5. Additionally, the hosts sit in 7th place in the table, reflecting a solid league position, while the visitors are down in 16th place. Considering the hosts' advantage in form, defensive solidity, and higher league standing, Louisville City is the clear favorite for this matchup.

Half-by-half

3 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
Louisville CityMiami FC II
25Shots6
Louisville CityMiami FC II
8Shots on target2
Louisville CityMiami FC II
2.75xG0.82
Louisville CityMiami FC II
12Corners0
Louisville CityMiami FC II
88Dangerous attacks40
Louisville CityMiami FC II
9Fouls9
Louisville CityMiami FC II
1Cards0
Louisville CityMiami FC II

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Louisville CityMiami FC II
1.63Goals scored / match1.25
Louisville CityMiami FC II
1.56Goals conceded / match1.5
Louisville CityMiami FC II
53%Average possession48%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
5Shots on target / match4.06
Louisville CityMiami FC II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.5Shots per match11.25
Louisville CityMiami FC II
5Shots on target4.06
Louisville CityMiami FC II
9.8%Shot conversion11.1%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
53%Possession48%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
1.95xG for1.34
Louisville CityMiami FC II
1.18xG against1.71
Louisville CityMiami FC II

Shooting quality

Louisville City: AttackingMiami FC II: Balanced
Louisville CityMiami FC II
Accuracy (shots on target)30%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Louisville City is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Louisville City · 1 pts / match - Miami FC II

Louisville City
DWDWL
Season result split
44% W19% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-6
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Miami FC II
LDLDW
Season result split
31% W38% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-5
1.31 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Louisville City is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - Louisville City · 1.25 goals / match - Miami FC II

Louisville City scoring profile: strong

Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Miami FC II keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

Miami FC II scoring profile: strong

Miami FC II scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

26Goals scored (season)20
Louisville CityMiami FC II
25Goals conceded (season)24
Louisville CityMiami FC II
3.19Average goals in match2.75
Louisville CityMiami FC II
7Goals scored (last 5)5
Louisville CityMiami FC II
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Louisville CityMiami FC II

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal56%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
44%2 goals38%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
25%3 goals19%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
13%4 goals13%
Louisville CityMiami FC II

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal63%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
56%2 goals50%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
19%3 goals25%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
6%4 goals13%
Louisville CityMiami FC II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time31%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
25%BTTS in both halves19%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
31%Scored in both halves38%
Louisville CityMiami FC II

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
60%BTTS - last 540%
Louisville CityMiami FC II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Louisville CityMiami FC II

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
Louisville CityMiami FC II

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Miami FC II is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Louisville City · 1.31 pts / match - Miami FC II

Louisville City - half-time state
6% leading69% draw25% trailing
Miami FC II - half-time state
25% leading56% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)1.31
Louisville CityMiami FC II
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Louisville CityMiami FC II
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Louisville CityMiami FC II
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.13
Louisville CityMiami FC II
38%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
56%No goal before half-time50%
Louisville CityMiami FC II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)1
Louisville CityMiami FC II
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
Louisville CityMiami FC II
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Louisville CityMiami FC II
1.81Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Louisville CityMiami FC II
44%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Louisville CityMiami FC II
31%No goal after half-time56%
Louisville CityMiami FC II

Louisville City - second-half results

44% W25% R31% P
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding733%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Miami FC II - second-half results

19% W44% R38% P
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Louisville City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Miami FC II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Louisville City
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
6
5
16-30
3
3
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Miami FC II
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
4
5
46-60
2
4
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.97
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Louisville City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Miami FC II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Louisville CityLigaMiami FC II
Average goals in match 3.192.79 2.75
Both teams scored 56%58% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 50%
Clean sheets 25%26% 38%
Goal before half-time 63%67% 56%
Goal after half-time 94%80% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Louisville City 4 - 0 - 1 Miami FC II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.

Miami FC II
4 : 3
Louisville City FC
Louisville City FC
1 : 0
Miami FC II
Miami FC II
2 : 4
Louisville City FC
Louisville City
3 : 0
Miami FC II
Miami FC II
1 : 2
Louisville City

FAQ

What was the result of Louisville City vs Miami FC II?

The USL Championship match finished Louisville City 4:1 Miami FC II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Louisville City and Miami FC II?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 4, Miami FC II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Louisville City vs Miami FC II?

Louisville City score 1.63 goals per game on average and Miami FC II 1.25. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Louisville City's matches and 50% of Miami FC II's.

What form are Louisville City and Miami FC II in?

Over the last 5 games Louisville City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Miami FC II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Louisville City vs Miami FC II?

The statistical background for Louisville City vs Miami FC II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.