Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: match statistics
Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ludogorets II played Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa in Second League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 11 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Ludogorets II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ludogorets II scores 1.21 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa scores 1.07 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ludogorets II 52%, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 55%. Over 2.5: Ludogorets II 48%, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 52%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Ludogorets II has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.25. Ludogorets II: 11.7 shots per match, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: 9.2.
Match halves
Ludogorets II: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.59. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Ludogorets II: 16-30 (8 goals). Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ludogorets II has a clear advantage in offense and game control: at home they score an average of 1.93 goals per match with an average xG of 1.80, while Lokomotiv away posts 1.07 goals and xG 1.24. The hosts take significantly more shots (14.64 vs 9.00) and shots on target (7.93 vs 4.43), with similar finishing rates (13% vs 12%), which translates into a greater number of high-quality scoring opportunities. Defensively Ludogorets II concedes 1.43 goals per home match, while Lokomotiv concedes 1.79 away; in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 7 and conceded 6, and the visitors 5 and 9, confirming the hosts’ better form and defensive stability. The home goal difference is +7 versus -10 for Lokomotiv away, and a lower percentage of matches without scoring 14% vs 29%, which reduces the risk of a goalless defeat. Nevertheless, the visitors’ high draw rate away (43%) and 21% clean sheets mean a draw remains a realistic scenario; therefore I assess probabilities as 60% for the hosts, 25% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I lean towards BTTS - Yes. Both teams have seasonal BTTS rates above 50%: Ludogorets II 53% and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 57%, versus a league average of 46%. A key factor is the visitors' weak defense — Lokomotiv concedes 1.79 goals per game this season (xG against 1.8), while the hosts have scored an average of 1.4 goals in the last 5 matches (xG 1.5), giving Ludogorets II a realistic chance to score. At the same time Lokomotiv averages 1.07 goals per game for the season (1.0 in the last 5), and Ludogorets II concedes 1.07 over the season (1.2 in the last 5), so the visitors also have statistical potential to score. Clean sheets are rare for both sides (20% and 21%), and shots on target 5.6 vs 4.43 show both teams create chances, therefore I assess the probability of BTTS at about 65% versus 35% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Ludogorets II has xG_for 1.26, and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa xG_for 1.24; average xG against is 1.80 (away) and 1.09 (home). The arithmetic mean of these values suggests about 1.53 xG for the home side and 1.17 for the away side, totaling ≈2.70 expected goals. Seasonally, over 1.5 occurred in 53% of home matches and 79% of away matches (average 66%), and the league average goals is 2.49 — this provides a strong signal for Over 1.5, hence a 78% rating for over. For the 2.5 line, seasonal rates are 47% (home) and 57% (away), but in the last 5 matches over 2.5 occurred in 60% and 80% of cases respectively, so I rate Over 2.5 at 55%. The 3.5 line has weaker foundations (20% and 29% seasonally) and with an expected total ≈2.70 Under 3.5 appears safer (78%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Home side stronger in the first half: Ludogorets II scores on average 0.6 goals by half-time versus Lokomotiv’s 0.38, with the hosts leading at the break in 27% of matches compared to the visitors’ 15%. Over the full match the hosts are also favored by the visitors’ weak defense — Lokomotiv concedes on average 1.79 goals per match with 1.8 xG against, while Ludogorets II has 1.26 xG and 1.09 xG against; a simple averaging suggests expected goals of roughly 1.5 for the home side versus ~1.17 for the visitors and a higher probability of a home win. However, the visitors are more dangerous after the break — they score 0.54 goals on average in the second half versus the hosts’ 0.47 and win 46% of second halves, so a draw at half-time can still end in a turnaround. Combining these elements the HT/FT model assigns the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (about 24%), then X/X (about 21%) and 2/2 (about 15%), therefore I recommend the 1/1 bet — Ludogorets II leading at half-time and winning by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ludogorets II | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 55% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ludogorets II is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Ludogorets II · 1.4 pts / match - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets II is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Ludogorets II · 1.07 goals / match - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Ludogorets II scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Ludogorets II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ludogorets II
Over / Under - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ludogorets II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ludogorets II
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Ludogorets II | Liga | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.48 | • 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 45% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 33% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 72% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ludogorets IIGoalElisey Syrov
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ludogorets II 1 - 0 - 0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
The Second League match finished Ludogorets II 3:1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
Ludogorets II score 1.21 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1.07. The Second League average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Ludogorets II's matches and 55% of Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa's.
What form are Ludogorets II and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa in?
Over the last 5 games Ludogorets II have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
The statistical background for Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.