Ludogorets vs Beroe: match statistics
Ludogorets are the clear favorite in this match, occupying 2nd place in the table and showing excellent form with 4 wins in the last 5 matches. The hosts have an impressive home record with a 56% win rate, averaging 2 goals per match at home and holding an advantage in xG (2.55 vs 0.91). Beroe are in 13th position, haven't won any of their last 5 matches, and have a disastrous away form – only a 10% win rate, as many as 50% defeats, and a negative goal difference of -11. The difference in quality between the teams is huge, as confirmed by possession statistics (66% vs 42%) and offensive effectiveness. Beroe fail to score in half of their away matches, which, combined with Ludogorets' solid defense (44% clean sheets), further reduces the visitors' chances of a favorable result.
Ludogorets vs Beroe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ludogorets played Beroe in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ludogorets: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Beroe: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ludogorets scores 1.90 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Beroe scores 0.80 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ludogorets 40%, Beroe 50%. Over 2.5: Ludogorets 45%, Beroe 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Ludogorets has higher xG: 2.13 vs 1.23. Ludogorets: 16.8 shots per match, Beroe: 9.7.
Match halves
Ludogorets: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.30. Beroe: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Ludogorets: 76-90+ (11 goals). Beroe: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ludogorets are the clear favorite in this match, occupying 2nd place in the table and showing excellent form with 4 wins in the last 5 matches. The hosts have an impressive home record with a 56% win rate, averaging 2 goals per match at home and holding an advantage in xG (2.55 vs 0.91). Beroe are in 13th position, haven't won any of their last 5 matches, and have a disastrous away form – only a 10% win rate, as many as 50% defeats, and a negative goal difference of -11. The difference in quality between the teams is huge, as confirmed by possession statistics (66% vs 42%) and offensive effectiveness. Beroe fail to score in half of their away matches, which, combined with Ludogorets' solid defense (44% clean sheets), further reduces the visitors' chances of a favorable result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ludogorets | Beroe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ludogorets is 550% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Ludogorets · 0.4 pts / match - Beroe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 137% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Ludogorets · 0.8 goals / match - Beroe
Ludogorets is 129% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Ludogorets · 1.6 goals / match - Beroe
Ludogorets scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Beroe keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Beroe scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 60% (12 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ludogorets
Over / Under - Beroe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ludogorets is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Ludogorets · 1.05 pts / match - Beroe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Beroe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ludogorets
Beroe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Ludogorets | Liga | Beroe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.40 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ludogorets 1 - 0 - 0 Beroe. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ludogorets vs Beroe?
The First League match finished Ludogorets 2:1 Beroe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ludogorets vs Beroe?
Ludogorets score 1.90 goals per game on average and Beroe 0.80. The First League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ludogorets's matches and 50% of Beroe's.
What form are Ludogorets and Beroe in?
Over the last 5 games Ludogorets have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Beroe 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ludogorets vs Beroe?
The statistical background for Ludogorets vs Beroe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.