Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa: match statistics
Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ludogorets played Botev Vratsa in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ludogorets: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Botev Vratsa: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ludogorets scores 1.50 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Botev Vratsa scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ludogorets 0%, Botev Vratsa 100%. Over 2.5: Ludogorets 0%, Botev Vratsa 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Ludogorets has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.06. Ludogorets: 12.5 shots per match, Botev Vratsa: 5.5.
Match halves
Ludogorets: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50. Botev Vratsa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Ludogorets: 0-15 (1 goals). Botev Vratsa: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win (1). Ludogorets are perfect at home with 100% wins and 100% clean sheets: 2-0-0, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game. Botev Vratsa away record is 0-0-1 (loss% 100), conceding 2.0 goals per away match and registering only 2 shots on target per game. Both teams show similar overall form in the last 5 (Ludogorets 3-1-1; Botev 3-1-1), but Botev struggle on the road. Quality-of-chances comparison shows 1.07 xG for the home side at home versus 1.28 xG for the visitors away; however xG against Ludogorets is 1.83, indicating the hosts have defended efficiently despite allowing expected chances. Additionally, the hosts have 55% possession versus 40% for the guests and 4 shots on target versus 2. Based on this I assign 72% probability to a Ludogorets win, 16% to a draw and 12% to a Botev Vratsa win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The main signal for BTTS - Yes is that both teams have season BTTS at 100% with season clean sheet percentages at 0%, meaning both sides have conceded and scored in 100% of their matches this season. Additionally, the league BTTS is 64%, and Botev Vratsa concedes on average 2.0 goals per game season-to-date and in the last 5 matches has scored 8 goals (1.6 avg) while conceding 4 (0.8), indicating simultaneous offensive capability and defensive fragility. The counterargument is that Ludogorets has 0% BTTS in the last 5 matches, scoring 4 goals (0.8) and conceding 2 (0.4), so recent matches more often show No Goal outcomes. However, the hosts’ season and recent xG trends are rising — recent xG_for 1.71 vs xG_against 1.63 — and with an average of 4 shots and a 25% conversion rate they have the potential to score even with a low number of chances. The weight of both teams’ 100% BTTS signal and the league 64% BTTS outweighs caution from the hosts’ form, therefore I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability split of 85% vs 15% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% BTTS and 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season (seasonOver15 = 100% for both), which strongly indicates at least 2 goals in the match. Botev Vratsa’s xG is 1.28 versus 0.83 for Ludogorets, and in the last 5 matches Botev scored 8 goals (1.6 avg) against Ludogorets’ 4 goals (0.8); additionally Ludogorets shows 25% conversion from 4 shots (~1.0 goals avg), while Botev has 14% from 7 shots (~1.0). Based on this I project 0.95 goals for Ludogorets and 1.35 for Botev, totaling 2.30 goals, which is close to the league average of 2.43 and strengthens the signal for Over 1.5. Seasonal splits for Over 2.5 (Ludogorets 0% vs Botev 100%) give moderate support for Over 2.5 (~55%), whereas Over 3.5 looks unlikely (both teams 0% Over 3.5). Therefore the strongest and most confident pick is the Over 1.5 line (recommendation: Over 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last five matches for both teams, a draw at half-time occurred relatively often – 40% for the home side and 40% for the visitors, hence a high share of scenarios starting with a draw. Ludogorets scores on average 1.0 goal and concedes 1.0 per match, while Botev Vratsa concedes an average of 2.0 goals per match, indicating the visitors’ weaker defense. In the last five games the home team conceded only 0.2 goals in the second half versus 0.6 conceded by Botev, and additionally Ludogorets’ conversion rate is 25% compared to 14% for the visitors, even though Botev generates more xG (1.28 vs 0.83) and more shots (7 vs 4). This suggests that after a goalless or level first period the hosts are more efficient in the closing stages, therefore the most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ludogorets | Botev Vratsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 60% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ludogorets is 500% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Ludogorets · 0.5 pts / match - Botev Vratsa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Ludogorets · 1 goals / match - Botev Vratsa
Ludogorets scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Botev Vratsa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Botev Vratsa scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ludogorets
Over / Under — Botev Vratsa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ludogorets is 500% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / match - Ludogorets · 0.5 pts / match - Botev Vratsa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Botev Vratsa - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ludogorets
Botev Vratsa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Ludogorets | Liga | Botev Vratsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 61% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ludogorets 2 - 0 - 0 Botev Vratsa. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa?
The First League match finished Ludogorets 2:1 Botev Vratsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ludogorets and Botev Vratsa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ludogorets won 2, Botev Vratsa won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa?
Ludogorets score 1.50 goals per game on average and Botev Vratsa 1.00. The First League average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Ludogorets's matches and 100% of Botev Vratsa's.
What form are Ludogorets and Botev Vratsa in?
Over the last 5 games Ludogorets have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Botev Vratsa 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa?
The statistical background for Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.