Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: match statistics
Ludogorets demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with 60% wins and an impressive average of 2.0 goals scored per match against only 0.8 conceded. Their advantage in Expected Goals (xG 2.65 vs 0.91) and possession dominance (66%) indicate clear control of the game at home. Lokomotiv Plovdiv, despite good recent form (2.2 PPG), is characterized by a defensive style of play on the road with 60% draws and only 20% victories. The difference in offensive quality (xG: 2.65 vs 1.42) and table position (2nd place vs 6th place) speak in favor of the hosts. Ludogorets' goal difference (+12) in home matches against the guests' negative balance (-2) away further confirms the favorite's advantage. A solid victory for the hosts is expected, although Lokomotiv's solid defense in recent matches (only 2 goals conceded in 5 games) may result in a low scoreline.
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ludogorets played Lokomotiv Plovdiv in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 2 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ludogorets: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ludogorets scores 1.86 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 1.09 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ludogorets 45%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 50%. Over 2.5: Ludogorets 50%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 36%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Ludogorets has higher xG: 2.19 vs 1.36. Ludogorets: 17.2 shots per match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 10.6.
Match halves
Ludogorets: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.32. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Ludogorets: 76-90+ (14 goals). Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ludogorets demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with 60% wins and an impressive average of 2.0 goals scored per match against only 0.8 conceded. Their advantage in Expected Goals (xG 2.65 vs 0.91) and possession dominance (66%) indicate clear control of the game at home. Lokomotiv Plovdiv, despite good recent form (2.2 PPG), is characterized by a defensive style of play on the road with 60% draws and only 20% victories. The difference in offensive quality (xG: 2.65 vs 1.42) and table position (2nd place vs 6th place) speak in favor of the hosts. Ludogorets' goal difference (+12) in home matches against the guests' negative balance (-2) away further confirms the favorite's advantage. A solid victory for the hosts is expected, although Lokomotiv's solid defense in recent matches (only 2 goals conceded in 5 games) may result in a low scoreline.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ludogorets | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ludogorets is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Ludogorets · 1 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Ludogorets · 1.09 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Ludogorets · 1.09 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 55% (12 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ludogorets
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Ludogorets · 1.73 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Ludogorets | Liga | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.35 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ludogorets 0 - 1 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The First League match finished Ludogorets 1:1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ludogorets score 1.86 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.09. The First League average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Ludogorets's matches and 50% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's.
What form are Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in?
Over the last 5 games Ludogorets have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.