Lugano vs Winterthur: match statistics
Lugano is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with impressive form including 4 wins in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of +8 at home. The hosts win 60% of their home games, scoring an average of 1.9 goals per match while conceding just 1.1. Winterthur finds themselves in last place (12th) with a catastrophic away record: 70% losses, a goal difference of -21, and only 10% away wins. The visitors have not won any of their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 3 goals per away game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Lugano's immense advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive solidity, combined with Winterthur's tragic road results, unequivocally points to a certain home victory.
Lugano vs Winterthur: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lugano played Winterthur in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Lugano: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Winterthur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lugano scores 1.65 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Winterthur scores 1.21 and concedes 2.74. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lugano 55%, Winterthur 63%. Over 2.5: Lugano 55%, Winterthur 84%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Lugano has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.25. Lugano: 13.7 shots per match, Winterthur: 11.5.
Match halves
Lugano: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80. Winterthur: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Lugano: 61-75 (8 goals). Winterthur: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lugano is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with impressive form including 4 wins in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of +8 at home. The hosts win 60% of their home games, scoring an average of 1.9 goals per match while conceding just 1.1. Winterthur finds themselves in last place (12th) with a catastrophic away record: 70% losses, a goal difference of -21, and only 10% away wins. The visitors have not won any of their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 3 goals per away game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Lugano's immense advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive solidity, combined with Winterthur's tragic road results, unequivocally points to a certain home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lugano | Winterthur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lugano is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Lugano · 0.8 pts / match - Winterthur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugano is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Lugano · 1.21 goals / match - Winterthur
Lugano is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Lugano · 2.74 goals / match - Winterthur
Lugano scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 19 matches).
Winterthur scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lugano
Over / Under - Winterthur
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lugano is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Lugano · 0.84 pts / match - Winterthur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Winterthur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lugano
Winterthur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Lugano | Liga | Winterthur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.90 | 3.27 | ▲ 3.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 64% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 67% | ▲ 84% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lugano 1 - 0 - 0 Winterthur. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugano vs Winterthur?
The Super League match finished Lugano 4:1 Winterthur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugano vs Winterthur?
Lugano score 1.65 goals per game on average and Winterthur 1.21. The Super League average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Lugano's matches and 63% of Winterthur's.
What form are Lugano and Winterthur in?
Over the last 5 games Lugano have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Winterthur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugano vs Winterthur?
The statistical background for Lugano vs Winterthur — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.