Lugazi Municipal vs BUL: match statistics
The match promises to be very close, suggesting a draw. Lugazi Municipal has a better home record (33% wins, +4 goal difference), but their form is poor (0 wins in the last 5 matches, 0.4 PPG). BUL presents better current form (2 consecutive wins, 1.2 PPG), however, they struggle on the road (only 20% wins, averaging 0.8 goals per match). The xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.73 vs 1.29), but their recent results raise concerns. Given Lugazi's poor form and BUL's mediocre away performance, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although the hosts have a slight edge due to home advantage.
Lugazi Municipal vs BUL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lugazi Municipal played BUL in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Lugazi Municipal: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. BUL: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lugazi Municipal scores 0.85 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. BUL scores 0.92 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lugazi Municipal 38%, BUL 46%. Over 2.5: Lugazi Municipal 46%, BUL 38%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Lugazi Municipal has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.44. Lugazi Municipal: 9.2 shots per match, BUL: 9.0.
Match halves
Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.38. BUL: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.15.
Goals by minute
Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (5 goals). BUL: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very close, suggesting a draw. Lugazi Municipal has a better home record (33% wins, +4 goal difference), but their form is poor (0 wins in the last 5 matches, 0.4 PPG). BUL presents better current form (2 consecutive wins, 1.2 PPG), however, they struggle on the road (only 20% wins, averaging 0.8 goals per match). The xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.73 vs 1.29), but their recent results raise concerns. Given Lugazi's poor form and BUL's mediocre away performance, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although the hosts have a slight edge due to home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lugazi Municipal | BUL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
BUL is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.2 pts / match - BUL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BUL is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 0.92 goals / match - BUL
BUL is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.08 goals / match - BUL
Lugazi Municipal scores in 38% of matches (5 of 13 matches), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
BUL scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lugazi Municipal
Over / Under - BUL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.69 pts / match - BUL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
BUL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lugazi Municipal
BUL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Lugazi Municipal | Liga | BUL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.23 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 45% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 41% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 62% | 62% | ▼ 31% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugazi Municipal vs BUL?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Lugazi Municipal 2:1 BUL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugazi Municipal vs BUL?
Lugazi Municipal score 0.85 goals per game on average and BUL 0.92. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lugazi Municipal's matches and 46% of BUL's.
What form are Lugazi Municipal and BUL in?
Over the last 5 games Lugazi Municipal have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and BUL 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugazi Municipal vs BUL?
The statistical background for Lugazi Municipal vs BUL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.