Lugazi Municipal vs KCCA: match statistics
KCCA displays significantly better form and season results, sitting 3rd in the table with 13 wins, while Lugazi Municipal is down in 12th place with just 4 victories. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals, which translates to an impressive 2.4 PPG. Lugazi Municipal is in disastrous form, suffering 4 defeats in their last 5 outings with only 2 goals scored. KCCA dominates in possession (58% vs 49%) and boasts a superior shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%). Additionally, the visitors hold a much better season-long goal difference (31:17 vs 15:27), indicating dominance in both attack and defense. All stats point to a massive advantage for KCCA, making their victory the most probable outcome of this match.
Lugazi Municipal vs KCCA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lugazi Municipal played KCCA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Lugazi Municipal: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. KCCA: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lugazi Municipal scores 0.75 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. KCCA scores 1.55 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lugazi Municipal 35%, KCCA 50%. Over 2.5: Lugazi Municipal 45%, KCCA 55%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
KCCA has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.33. Lugazi Municipal: 8.6 shots per match, KCCA: 11.9.
Match halves
Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.35. KCCA: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (7 goals). KCCA: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.10 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KCCA displays significantly better form and season results, sitting 3rd in the table with 13 wins, while Lugazi Municipal is down in 12th place with just 4 victories. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals, which translates to an impressive 2.4 PPG. Lugazi Municipal is in disastrous form, suffering 4 defeats in their last 5 outings with only 2 goals scored. KCCA dominates in possession (58% vs 49%) and boasts a superior shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%). Additionally, the visitors hold a much better season-long goal difference (31:17 vs 15:27), indicating dominance in both attack and defense. All stats point to a massive advantage for KCCA, making their victory the most probable outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lugazi Municipal | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KCCA is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 2.4 pts / match - KCCA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCCA is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.55 goals / match - KCCA
KCCA is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 0.85 goals / match - KCCA
Lugazi Municipal scores in 40% of matches (8 of 20 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
KCCA scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lugazi Municipal
Over / Under - KCCA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KCCA is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.65 pts / match - KCCA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KCCA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lugazi Municipal
KCCA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Lugazi Municipal | Liga | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.10 | 2.10 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 35% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KCCAGoalSaidi Mayanja
- KCCAGoalIvan Ahimbisibwe
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lugazi Municipal 0 - 1 - 0 KCCA. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugazi Municipal vs KCCA?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Lugazi Municipal 0:3 KCCA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugazi Municipal vs KCCA?
Lugazi Municipal score 0.75 goals per game on average and KCCA 1.55. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Lugazi Municipal's matches and 50% of KCCA's.
What form are Lugazi Municipal and KCCA in?
Over the last 5 games Lugazi Municipal have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and KCCA 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugazi Municipal vs KCCA?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lugazi Municipal vs KCCA: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.