Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lugazi Municipal play Police Uganda in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 10 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Lugazi Municipal: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lugazi Municipal scores 0.63 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Police Uganda scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lugazi Municipal 30%, Police Uganda 63%. Over 2.5: Lugazi Municipal 37%, Police Uganda 53%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.28. Lugazi Municipal: 8.2 shots per match, Police Uganda: 10.5.

Match halves

Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30. Police Uganda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (9 goals). Police Uganda: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
10Shots16
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
4Shots on target4
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.32xG2.06
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
6Corners7
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
55Dangerous attacks108
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
-1Fouls-1
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
-1Cards-1
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.63Goals scored / match1.4
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.2Goals conceded / match1.2
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
40%Average possession46%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
2.13Shots on target / match3.73
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.2Shots per match10.47
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
2.13Shots on target3.73
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
7.7%Shot conversion13.4%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
40%Possession46%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.28xG for1.54
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.74xG against1.5
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Shooting quality

Lugazi Municipal: BalancedPolice Uganda: Counter-attacking
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
Accuracy (shots on target)26%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lugazi Municipal
WLDDL
Season result split
17% W33% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-10-15
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-7
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Police Uganda
WLLDD
Season result split
43% W23% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-10
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police Uganda is 122% better for: goals scored per match.

0.63 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.4 goals / match - Police Uganda

Lugazi Municipal scoring profile: mixed

Lugazi Municipal scores in 37% of matches (11 of 30 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).

Police Uganda scoring profile: very strong

Police Uganda scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).

19Goals scored (season)42
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
36Goals conceded (season)36
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.83Average goals in match2.6
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
2Goals scored (last 5)5
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

How often they score at least...

37%1 goal83%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
13%2 goals47%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
7%3 goals7%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
3%4 goals3%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal77%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
37%2 goals30%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
13%3 goals10%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
3%4 goals3%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time23%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
13%Scored in both halves20%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0%BTTS - last 540%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
23%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police Uganda is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.27 pts / match - Police Uganda

Lugazi Municipal - half-time state
20% leading50% draw30% trailing
Police Uganda - half-time state
27% leading47% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per match (1st half)1.27
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.3Goals scored (1st half)0.57
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.83Average goals (1st half)1.13
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
63%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
77%No goal before half-time53%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

After half-time (2nd half)

0.93Points per match (2nd half)1.47
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.3Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.9Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
53%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
77%No goal after half-time47%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Lugazi Municipal - second-half results

13% W53% R33% P
33
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police Uganda - second-half results

40% W27% R33% P
38
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding159%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lugazi Municipal - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.20.6
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Police Uganda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lugazi Municipal
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
4
31-45
0
8
46-60
0
6
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
9
4
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
3
46-60
8
4
61-75
11
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lugazi Municipal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
47% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
47%

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Lugazi MunicipalLigaPolice Uganda
Average goals in match 1.832.09 2.60
Both teams scored 30%38% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 37%35% 53%
Clean sheets 33%39% 23%
Goal before half-time 53%59% 67%
Goal after half-time 57%62% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Lugazi Municipal 0 - 0 - 1 Police Uganda. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Lugazi Municipal 1:1 Police Uganda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda?

Lugazi Municipal score 0.63 goals per game on average and Police Uganda 1.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Lugazi Municipal's matches and 63% of Police Uganda's.

What form are Lugazi Municipal and Police Uganda in?

Over the last 5 games Lugazi Municipal have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Police Uganda 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.