Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lugazi Municipal played Police Uganda in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 10 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Lugazi Municipal: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Police Uganda: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lugazi Municipal scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Police Uganda scores 1.89 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.41 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lugazi Municipal 33%, Police Uganda 78%. Over 2.5: Lugazi Municipal 56%, Police Uganda 78%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.56. Lugazi Municipal: 9.2 shots per match, Police Uganda: 10.7.

Match halves

Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Police Uganda: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (4 goals). Police Uganda: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
10Shots16
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
4Shots on target4
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.32xG2.06
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
6Corners7
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
55Dangerous attacks108
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
-1Fouls-1
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
-1Cards-1
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1Goals scored / match1.89
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.56Goals conceded / match1.11
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
37%Average possession45%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
2.11Shots on target / match4.44
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.22Shots per match10.67
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
2.11Shots on target4.44
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
10.8%Shot conversion17.7%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
37%Possession45%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.56xG for1.72
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.58xG against1.56
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Shooting quality

Lugazi Municipal: BalancedPolice Uganda: Counter-attacking
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
Accuracy (shots on target)23%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police Uganda is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 2.4 pts / match - Police Uganda

Lugazi Municipal
LWDLL
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
WDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Police Uganda
WWWLW
Season result split
56% W22% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-2
1.89 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
DLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police Uganda is 89% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.89 goals / match - Police Uganda

Police Uganda is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.11 goals / match - Police Uganda

Lugazi Municipal scoring profile: mixed

Lugazi Municipal scores in 33% of matches (3 of 9 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Police Uganda scoring profile: very strong

Police Uganda scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

9Goals scored (season)17
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
14Goals conceded (season)10
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
2.56Average goals in match3
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
5Goals scored (last 5)11
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
11Goals conceded (last 5)4
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

How often they score at least...

33%1 goal100%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
22%2 goals67%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
22%3 goals11%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
11%4 goals11%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal78%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
56%2 goals33%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
22%3 goals0%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
11%4 goals0%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time22%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
22%Scored in both halves22%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
20%BTTS - last 560%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

2nd half

56%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police Uganda is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal · 1.67 pts / match - Police Uganda

Lugazi Municipal - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing
Police Uganda - half-time state
44% leading33% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per match (1st half)1.67
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.78
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.22
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
56%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
78%No goal before half-time44%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
1.11Average goals (2nd half)1.56
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
56%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda
78%No goal after half-time44%
Lugazi MunicipalPolice Uganda

Lugazi Municipal - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police Uganda - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lugazi Municipal - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Police Uganda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lugazi Municipal
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
2
31-45
0
4
46-60
0
0
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
6
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lugazi Municipal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
195%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Lugazi MunicipalLigaPolice Uganda
Average goals in match 2.562.41 3.00
Both teams scored 33%49% 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%44% 78%
Clean sheets 33%31% 22%
Goal before half-time 56%61% 78%
Goal after half-time 56%59% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.41
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.97
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Lugazi Municipal 1:1 Police Uganda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda?

Lugazi Municipal score 1.00 goals per game on average and Police Uganda 1.89. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Lugazi Municipal's matches and 78% of Police Uganda's.

What form are Lugazi Municipal and Police Uganda in?

Over the last 5 games Lugazi Municipal have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Police Uganda 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lugazi Municipal vs Police Uganda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.