Lumezzane vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lumezzane played Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Lumezzane: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Novara: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lumezzane scores 1.13 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Novara scores 0.80 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.25 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lumezzane 53%, Novara 47%. Over 2.5: Lumezzane 47%, Novara 13%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Novara has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.39. Lumezzane: 9.8 shots per match, Novara: 11.0.

Match halves

Lumezzane: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.60. Novara: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Lumezzane: 61-75 (5 goals). Novara: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
LumezzaneNovara
10Shots7
LumezzaneNovara
4Shots on target5
LumezzaneNovara
1.29xG1.13
LumezzaneNovara
5Corners2
LumezzaneNovara
51Dangerous attacks45
LumezzaneNovara
7Fouls19
LumezzaneNovara
3Cards5
LumezzaneNovara

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.13Goals scored / match0.8
LumezzaneNovara
1.53Goals conceded / match0.8
LumezzaneNovara
50%Average possession48%
LumezzaneNovara
3.2Shots on target / match4.07
LumezzaneNovara

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.8Shots per match11
LumezzaneNovara
3.2Shots on target4.07
LumezzaneNovara
11.6%Shot conversion7.3%
LumezzaneNovara
50%Possession48%
LumezzaneNovara
1.39xG for1.4
LumezzaneNovara
1.42xG against1.44
LumezzaneNovara

Shooting quality

Lumezzane: BalancedNovara: Balanced
LumezzaneNovara
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lumezzane is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Lumezzane · 1.6 pts / match - Novara

Lumezzane
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
27% W27% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-7
1.07 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Novara
DDWWL
Season result split
20% W60% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-9-3
1.20 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-5-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lumezzane is 41% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Lumezzane · 0.8 goals / match - Novara

Novara is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - Lumezzane · 0.8 goals / match - Novara

Lumezzane scoring profile: strong

Lumezzane scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

Novara scoring profile: strong

Novara scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Lumezzane keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

17Goals scored (season)12
LumezzaneNovara
23Goals conceded (season)12
LumezzaneNovara
2.67Average goals in match1.6
LumezzaneNovara
8Goals scored (last 5)5
LumezzaneNovara
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
LumezzaneNovara

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal67%
LumezzaneNovara
27%2 goals13%
LumezzaneNovara
13%3 goals0%
LumezzaneNovara
0%4 goals0%
LumezzaneNovara

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal60%
LumezzaneNovara
47%2 goals13%
LumezzaneNovara
20%3 goals7%
LumezzaneNovara
7%4 goals0%
LumezzaneNovara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time27%
LumezzaneNovara
13%BTTS in both halves0%
LumezzaneNovara
27%Scored in both halves7%
LumezzaneNovara

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
LumezzaneNovara
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LumezzaneNovara
60%BTTS - last 540%
LumezzaneNovara

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
LumezzaneNovara
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
LumezzaneNovara
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
LumezzaneNovara

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time53%
LumezzaneNovara
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time13%
LumezzaneNovara
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
LumezzaneNovara

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Novara is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Lumezzane · 1.27 pts / match - Novara

Lumezzane - half-time state
33% leading20% draw47% trailing
Novara - half-time state
20% leading67% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.27
LumezzaneNovara
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.47
LumezzaneNovara
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
LumezzaneNovara
1.27Average goals (1st half)0.87
LumezzaneNovara
47%Clean sheet before half-time60%
LumezzaneNovara
47%No goal before half-time60%
LumezzaneNovara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)1.27
LumezzaneNovara
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
LumezzaneNovara
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
LumezzaneNovara
1.4Average goals (2nd half)0.73
LumezzaneNovara
47%Clean sheet after half-time73%
LumezzaneNovara
53%No goal after half-time67%
LumezzaneNovara

Lumezzane - second-half results

27% W47% D27% L
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Novara - second-half results

27% W47% D27% L
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lumezzane - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Novara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lumezzane
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
5
16-30
4
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
5
4
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Novara
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lumezzane

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
149%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

LumezzaneLigaNovara
Average goals in match 2.672.25 1.60
Both teams scored 53%50% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%41% 13%
Clean sheets 27%30% 40%
Goal before half-time 87%68% 53%
Goal after half-time 73%70% 53%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.25
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LumezzaneYellow cardLuigi Caccavo
  2. NovaraGoalEric LaniniAssist: Nicolò Ledonne
  3. NovaraYellow cardLeonardo D'Alessio
  4. LumezzaneYellow cardMichele Rocca
  5. LumezzaneSubstitutionOn: Davide De MarinoOff: Marco Pagliari
  6. NovaraYellow cardOmari Khailoti
  7. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Giuseppe AgyemangOff: Leonardo D'Alessio
  8. NovaraYellow cardChristian Donadio
  9. LumezzaneGoalMatteo Ferro
  10. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Leonardo MorosiniOff: Nicolò Ledonne
  11. LumezzaneYellow cardMatteo Motta
  12. NovaraRed cardAdrian Cannavaro
  13. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Alessandro CitiOff: Omari Khailoti

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Lumezzane vs Novara?

The Serie C Group A match finished Lumezzane 1:1 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lumezzane vs Novara?

Lumezzane score 1.13 goals per game on average and Novara 0.80. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Lumezzane's matches and 47% of Novara's.

What form are Lumezzane and Novara in?

Over the last 5 games Lumezzane have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Novara 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lumezzane vs Novara?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.