Qatar - Stars LeagueHamad bin Khalifa StadiumData current as of 16 October 2026

Lusail City vs Al Shamal: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Lusail City vs Al Shamal: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lusail City play Al Shamal in Stars League (Qatar). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.

Current form

Lusail City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Al Shamal: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lusail City scores 1.40 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Al Shamal scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lusail City 20%, Al Shamal 80%. Over 2.5: Lusail City 40%, Al Shamal 80%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Al Shamal has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.31. Lusail City: 10.8 shots per match, Al Shamal: 11.8.

Match halves

Lusail City: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40. Al Shamal: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.60.

Goals by minute

Lusail City: 0-15 (2 goals). Al Shamal: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Stars League: 3.50 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.22)
(3.64)
(1.92)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.4Goals scored / match2
Lusail CityAl Shamal
1Goals conceded / match2
Lusail CityAl Shamal
48%Average possession51%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
3.8Shots on target / match5
Lusail CityAl Shamal

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.8Shots per match11.8
Lusail CityAl Shamal
3.8Shots on target5
Lusail CityAl Shamal
13%Shot conversion16.9%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
48%Possession51%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
1.31xG for1.5
Lusail CityAl Shamal
1.65xG against1.88
Lusail CityAl Shamal

Shooting quality

Lusail City: Efficient finishingAl Shamal: Efficient finishing
Lusail CityAl Shamal
Accuracy (shots on target)35%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Shamal is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Lusail City · 1.6 pts / match - Al Shamal

Lusail City
LDWDL
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Al Shamal
DWWDL
Season result split
40% W40% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Shamal is 43% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Lusail City · 2 goals / match - Al Shamal

Lusail City is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Lusail City · 2 goals / match - Al Shamal

Lusail City scoring profile: strong

Lusail City scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Al Shamal keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Al Shamal scoring profile: strong

Al Shamal scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Lusail City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

7Goals scored (season)10
Lusail CityAl Shamal
5Goals conceded (season)10
Lusail CityAl Shamal
2.4Average goals in match4
Lusail CityAl Shamal
7Goals scored (last 5)10
Lusail CityAl Shamal
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
Lusail CityAl Shamal

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal80%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
40%2 goals60%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
40%3 goals40%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
20%4 goals20%
Lusail CityAl Shamal

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
20%2 goals60%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
20%3 goals20%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
0%4 goals20%
Lusail CityAl Shamal

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time40%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
20%BTTS in both halves20%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
40%Scored in both halves20%
Lusail CityAl Shamal

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
20%BTTS - last 580%
Lusail CityAl Shamal

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Lusail CityAl Shamal

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time80%
Lusail CityAl Shamal

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lusail City is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / match - Lusail City · 0.8 pts / match - Al Shamal

Lusail City - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing
Al Shamal - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per match (1st half)0.8
Lusail CityAl Shamal
1Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Lusail CityAl Shamal
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Lusail CityAl Shamal
1.4Average goals (1st half)1
Lusail CityAl Shamal
60%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
60%No goal before half-time60%
Lusail CityAl Shamal

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.6
Lusail CityAl Shamal
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)1.6
Lusail CityAl Shamal
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1.4
Lusail CityAl Shamal
1Average goals (2nd half)3
Lusail CityAl Shamal
60%Clean sheet after half-time20%
Lusail CityAl Shamal
60%No goal after half-time40%
Lusail CityAl Shamal

Lusail City - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Shamal - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lusail City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Al Shamal - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.03.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lusail City
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Al Shamal
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.20
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lusail City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Al Shamal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).

Teams vs league

Lusail CityLigaAl Shamal
Average goals in match▼ 2.403.50▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▼ 20%60%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%63%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▲ 40%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%70%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%87%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.50
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.87
Home goals / match
1.63
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Lusail City and Al Shamal play?

Lusail City face Al Shamal on 17 October 2026 in Stars League at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lusail City vs Al Shamal?

Lusail City score 1.40 goals per game on average and Al Shamal 2.00. The Stars League average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Lusail City's matches and 80% of Al Shamal's.

What form are Lusail City and Al Shamal in?

Over the last 5 games Lusail City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Al Shamal 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lusail City vs Al Shamal?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.