Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atlético CP: match statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atlético CP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lusitano Évora 1911 played Atlético CP in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Lusitano Évora 1911: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Atlético CP: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 scores 1.07 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Atlético CP scores 1.15 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lusitano Évora 1911 52%, Atlético CP 37%. Over 2.5: Lusitano Évora 1911 33%, Atlético CP 37%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Lusitano Évora 1911 has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.31. Lusitano Évora 1911: 10.0 shots per match, Atlético CP: 10.0.
Match halves
Lusitano Évora 1911: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.52. Atlético CP: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Lusitano Évora 1911: 16-30 (7 goals). Atlético CP: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.20 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lusitano Évora 1911 sits top of the table and shows superior recent form: the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals, while Atlético CP has 2 wins and 5 goals in their last five. In attack the hosts hold a clear advantage in chance quality — on average 4.85 shots on target and 10.23 attempts per home match versus 2.92 shots on target and 8.54 attempts for the visitors away, with average xG of 1.48 for Lusitano compared to 1.12 for Atlético. Defensively both teams concede an average of 0.69 goals per game, but Atlético have a higher away xG against (1.32 versus 0.93 for the hosts), indicating the visitors more frequently allow high-quality chances. Additionally the hosts win 69% of home matches while the visitors win 46% of away games; average points in the last 5 matches are 2.6 for Lusitano and 1.2 for Atlético, which reinforces the hosts' advantage. Considering the greater volume of created chances, higher xG for the hosts and a better record over the last five fixtures, I forecast a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS metrics are moderate: home 43%, away 31% and league average 48%, which does not provide a clear edge. However, in the last 5 matches the home side shows 80% BTTS with an average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while the away side has 40% BTTS with 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, increasing the likelihood of mutual scoring. xG analysis supports both teams’ scoring chances: home xG_for 1.48 versus away xG_against 1.32, and away xG_for 1.12 versus home xG_against 1.05. Additionally, the home team averages 4.07 shots on target and 11.43 shots per match; the away side, despite a season-low average conceded 0.69 goals, does not appear completely incapable of scoring. Therefore I favor BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected xG of 1.40 for the home side and 1.09 for the away side (total 2.49), using the home attack xG average 1.48 and the away xG conceded 1.32 and vice versa. A Poisson model for total xG=2.49 yields about a 71% chance of Over 1.5 goals, 45% for Over 2.5 goals and 24% for Over 3.5 goals. The home team creates clearly more chances: on average 11.43 shots and 4.07 on target per match with 1.29 goals per match, while the visitors have 8.54 shots, 2.92 on target and 1.00 goal per match, which supports the scenario of at least two goals. In the last 5 matches Lusitano scored 9 goals (1.8 avg.) and conceded 4 (0.8 avg.), and Atlético scored 5 and conceded 5 (1.0/1.0); seasonal Over 1.5 rates are 71% for the home side and 38% for the away side, which strengthens the signal for Over 1.5. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest pick — 71% probability and 2.49 expected goals give a clear edge versus the 2.5 line (45%) and 3.5 line (24%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I rate 1/1 (home team leads at the break and wins the match) as the most likely scenario. In their last 5 matches the hosts led at the break in 4 of 5 games (80%), and across those five matches they averaged 1.4 goals by half-time versus 0.4 for the visitors. Over the season Lusitano generates higher xG: 1.48 versus Atlético’s 1.12, takes more shots (11.43 vs 8.54) and more shots on target (4.07 vs 2.92), which supports home pressure and maintaining a lead. The hosts average 0.86 goals after the break and in 93% of their matches at least one goal falls in the second half, so they have a high probability of extending/holding the result. The visitors formally concede 0.69 goals per match, but their xG against is 1.32, which suggests vulnerability to goal-scoring situations and provides an additional argument for a home win at Full-Time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lusitano Évora 1911 is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 1.2 pts / match - Atlético CP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético CP is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 1.15 goals / match - Atlético CP
Atlético CP is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 0.93 goals / match - Atlético CP
Lusitano Évora 1911 scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Atlético CP keeps a clean sheet in 44% (12 of 27 matches).
Atlético CP scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Lusitano Évora 1911 keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lusitano Évora 1911
Over / Under - Atlético CP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético CP is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Lusitano Évora 1911 · 1.48 pts / match - Atlético CP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lusitano Évora 1911 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lusitano Évora 1911
Atlético CP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Lusitano Évora 1911 | Liga | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.11 | 2.20 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 49% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 31% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 66% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Lusitano Évora 1911SubstitutionOn: Duarte Tomé Marrafa Figueira MartinsOff: Marcelo dos Santos Farias Valverde
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Lusitano Évora 1911 0 - 0 - 3 Atlético CP. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atlético CP?
The Liga 3 match finished Lusitano Évora 1911 0:1 Atlético CP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and Atlético CP?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lusitano Évora 1911 won 0, Atlético CP won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atlético CP?
Lusitano Évora 1911 score 1.07 goals per game on average and Atlético CP 1.15. The Liga 3 average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Lusitano Évora 1911's matches and 37% of Atlético CP's.
What form are Lusitano Évora 1911 and Atlético CP in?
Over the last 5 games Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Atlético CP 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atlético CP?
The statistical background for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atlético CP — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.